Mar 2, 2024 11.00pm

2

1

HT : 0 1

FT Estadio Nemesio Diez

Alexis Vega 52'
Alexis Vega 54'
Tiago Volpi 71'
Edgar Lopez 90'+6'

Jonathan Herrera 35'
Sebastian Cordova 45'+6'
Guido Pizarro 52'
Nahuel Guzman 56'
Juan Sanchez 68'

Toluca vs Tigres - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Form, Standings, Stats

Toluca

All competitions

W
W
D
L
D
W

Liga MX

W
W
D
D
W
L

Last game

Feb 25, 2024 6.00pm

Toluca 2 - 0 Tijuana

Tigres

All competitions

W
D
L
W
W
D

Liga MX

W
D
L
W
D
D

Last game

Feb 29, 2024 1.00am

Tigres 1 - 0 Juarez

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Toluca win with a probability of 40.97%. A win for Tigres had a probability of 34.02% and a draw had a probability of 25%.

The most likely scoreline for a Toluca win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.79%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.76%) and 2-0 (6.56%). The likeliest Tigres win was 1-2 (7.89%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.75%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with an 8.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 2-1 win for Toluca in this match.

Result

Toluca 40.97% ▼ (-0.07)

Draw 25.01% ▼ (-0.12)

Tigres 34.02% ▲ (+0.17)

Both Teams to Score:

57.3% ▲ (+0.45)

Goals

Over 2.5 53.93% ▲ (+0.56)

Under 2.5 46.07% ▼ (-0.56)

Over 3.5 31.63% ▲ (+0.52)

Under 3.5 68.37% ▼ (-0.53)

Over 4.5 15.81% ▲ (+0.37)

Under 4.5 84.19% ▼ (-0.38)

Toluca Goals

Over 0.5 77.59% ▲ (+0.22)

Under 0.5 22.41% ▼ (-0.22)

Over 1.5 44.07% ▲ (+0.32)

Under 1.5 55.92% ▼ (-0.32)

Tigres Goals

Over 0.5 73.85% ▲ (+0.37)

Under 0.5 26.15% ▼ (-0.38)

Over 1.5 38.77% ▲ (+0.50)

Under 1.5 61.23% ▼ (-0.50)

Score analysis

Toluca 40.97%

Draw 25%

Tigres 34.02%

Toluca

2-1 @ 8.79% ▼ (-0.01)

1-0 @ 8.76% ▼ (-0.16)

2-0 @ 6.56% ▼ (-0.08)

3-1 @ 4.38% ▲ (+0.03)

3-0 @ 3.27% ▼ (-0.02)

3-2 @ 2.94% ▲ (+0.05)

4-1 @ 1.64% ▲ (+0.03)

4-0 @ 1.22% ▲ (+0.01)

4-2 @ 1.1% ▲ (+0.03)

Other @ 2.31%

Total : 40.97%

Draw

1-1 @ 11.75% ▼ (-0.09)

2-2 @ 5.9% ▲ (+0.07)

0-0 @ 5.86% ▼ (-0.14)

3-3 @ 1.32% ▲ (+0.04)

Other @ 0.18%

Total : 25%

Tigres

1-2 @ 7.89% ▲ (+0.04)

0-1 @ 7.86% ▼ (-0.11)

0-2 @ 5.27% ▼ (-0.02)

1-3 @ 3.53% ▲ (+0.05)

2-3 @ 2.64% ▲ (+0.06)

0-3 @ 2.36% ▲ (+0.02)

1-4 @ 1.18% ▲ (+0.03)

Other @ 3.3%

Total : 34.02%

Head to Head

Oct 5, 2023 4.00am

2

2

HT : 2 2

FT Estadio Universitario de Nuevo Leon

Andre-Pierre Gignac 48'
Andre-Pierre Gignac 48'
Jesus Angulo 45'+5'
Jesus Angulo 45'+5'
Rafael Carioca 63'
Rafael Carioca 63'
Jesus Angulo 68'
Jesus Angulo 68'
Andre-Pierre Gignac 76'
Andre-Pierre Gignac 76'
Jonathan Herrera 90'+9'
Marcelo Flores 90'+9'
Jonathan Herrera 90'+9'
Marcelo Flores 90'+9'

Jean Meneses 24'
Jean Meneses 24'
Marcel Ruiz 44'
Marcel Ruiz 44'
Jean Meneses 45'+2'
Jean Meneses 45'+2'
Mauricio Isais 59'
Mauricio Isais 59'
Robert Morales 77'
Robert Morales 77'
Marcel Ruiz 90'+2'
Marcel Ruiz 90'+2'
Robert Morales 90'+4'
Robert Morales 90'+4'

May 14, 2023 7.00pm

3

1

HT : 2 0

FT

Edgar Lopez 26'
Marcel Ruiz 45'+3'
Edgar Lopez 53'

Sebastian Cordova 71'

May 12, 2023 4.10am

4

1

HT : 3 1

FT

Sebastian Cordova 14'
Andre-Pierre Gignac 31'
Juan Vigon 45'+5'
Nicolas Lopez 72'

Leonardo Fernandez 8'

Apr 2, 2023 7.00pm

3

2

HT : 2 0

FT Estadio Nemesio DÃez

Igor Lichnovsky 27'
Carlos Gonzalez 45'+1'
Carlos Gonzalez 69'

Andre-Pierre Gignac 76'
Nicolas Lopez 90'

Sep 8, 2022 1.00am

3

1

HT : 1 0

FT

Sebastian Cordova 41'
Andre-Pierre Gignac 62'
Florian Thauvin 80'

Jean Meneses 68'

Apr 17, 2022 1.00am

3

0

HT : 0 0

FT

Juan Vigon 59'
Sebastian Cordova 67'
Andre-Pierre Gignac 71'
Guido Pizarro 86'

Jordan Sierra 75'

Form Data

Toluca 2 - 0 Tijuana

Toluca 1 - 0 Santos Laguna

Monterrey 0 - 0 Toluca

Toluca 2 - 3 Herediano

Necaxa 3 - 3 Toluca

Herediano 1 - 2 Toluca

Tigres 1 - 0 Juarez

Tigres 1 - 1 Atlas

Cruz Azul 1 - 0 Tigres

Tigres 3 - 0 Vancouver

Santos Laguna 0 - 3 Tigres

Vancouver 1 - 1 Tigres