Liga MX | Gameweek 16
Apr 20, 2024 at 4.10am UK
Estadio Caliente

Tijuana
3 - 1
Puebla

Zuniga (48', 48'), Alvarez (66', 66'), Castaneda (74', 74')
Rivera (61'), Rivera (61'), Blanco (89'), Blanco (89'), Contreras (90+4'), Contreras (90+4')
FT(HT: 0-2)
Sansores (44', 44')
de Buen (84'), de Buen (84'), Orona (90+5'), Orona (90+5')
Sansores (55'), Sansores (55')
Coverage of the Liga MX clash between Club Tijuana and Puebla.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Juarez 0-1 Tijuana
Monday, April 15 at 3.06am in Liga MX
Next Game: Tigres vs. Tijuana
Sunday, April 28 at 2am in Liga MX
Last Game: Puebla 0-1 Cruz Azul
Saturday, April 13 at 4am in Liga MX
Next Game: Puebla vs. America
Saturday, April 27 at 2am in Liga MX

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Club Tijuana win with a probability of 57.49%. A win for Puebla had a probability of 21.45% and a draw had a probability of 21.1%.

The most likely scoreline for a Club Tijuana win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.8%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (8.26%) and 1-0 (8.02%). The likeliest Puebla win was 1-2 (5.64%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.51%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 6.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Club Tijuana would win this match.

Result
Club TijuanaDrawPuebla
57.49% (0.010000000000005 0.01)21.06% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)21.45% (-0.0079999999999991 -0.01)
Both teams to score 60.61% (-0.0039999999999978 -0)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
62.95%37.04% (-0.00099999999999767 -0)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
40.76%59.23% (-0.0010000000000048 -0)
Club Tijuana Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
87.25% (0.0030000000000001 0)12.75% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
60.98% (0.0050000000000026 0.01)39.01% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)
Puebla Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
69.46% (-0.0090000000000003 -0.01)30.53% (0.0079999999999991 0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
33.24% (-0.0090000000000003 -0.01)66.76% (0.010000000000005 0.01)
Score Analysis
    Club Tijuana 57.49%
    Puebla 21.45%
    Draw 21.06%
Club TijuanaDrawPuebla
2-1 @ 9.8%
2-0 @ 8.26% (0.0019999999999989 0)
1-0 @ 8.02% (0.00099999999999945 0)
3-1 @ 6.73% (0.00099999999999945 0)
3-0 @ 5.67% (0.0019999999999998 0)
3-2 @ 3.99%
4-1 @ 3.46% (0.00099999999999989 0)
4-0 @ 2.92% (0.0020000000000002 0)
4-2 @ 2.05%
5-1 @ 1.43%
5-0 @ 1.2%
Other @ 3.97%
Total : 57.49%
1-1 @ 9.51% (-0.00099999999999945 -0)
2-2 @ 5.81% (-0.0010000000000003 -0)
0-0 @ 3.89%
3-3 @ 1.58% (-0.0010000000000001 -0)
Other @ 0.27%
Total : 21.06%
1-2 @ 5.64% (-0.0010000000000003 -0)
0-1 @ 4.62% (-0.0010000000000003 -0)
0-2 @ 2.74% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
2-3 @ 2.3% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
1-3 @ 2.23% (-0.0010000000000003 -0)
0-3 @ 1.08% (-0.0010000000000001 -0)
Other @ 2.83%
Total : 21.45%

Head to Head
Sep 2, 2023 4.10am
Gameweek 7
Puebla
3-0
Tijuana
Velasco (8'), Martinez (37'), Cavallini (53' og.)
Ivan Rodriguez (34')

Godinez (51')
Apr 30, 2023 12am
Gameweek 17
Puebla
5-2
Tijuana
Aug 13, 2022 3.05am
Gameweek 8
Tijuana
3-3
Puebla
Lopez (36'), Rodriguez (63'), Lopez (72')
Ferrareis (38'), Altidore (85'), Reyes (90+9')
Jan 29, 2022 3am
Gameweek 3
Puebla
3-1
Tijuana

Rivera (16'), Ruiz (30')
Aug 18, 2021 3.06am
Gameweek 5
Tijuana
1-1
Puebla
Lorona (86')
Parra (82'), Ferrareis (88'), Maia (90+4')