Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Tigres win with a probability of 65.4%. A draw had a probability of 19.2% and a win for Club Tijuana had a probability of 15.44%.
The most likely scoreline for a Tigres win was 2-0 with a probability of 10.07%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.85%) and 1-0 (9.11%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.9%), while for a Club Tijuana win it was 1-2 (4.35%). The actual scoreline of 4-1 was predicted with a 4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Tigres would win this match.