La Liga

La Liga | Gameweek 2

Aug 24, 2024 at 6pm UK

Estadi Olimpic Lluis Companys

Barcelona
2 - 1
Athletic Bilbao

Yamal (24'), Lewandowski (75')
Cubarsi (41'), Bernal Casas (49'), Lewandowski (85'), Lopez (90+6')

FT(HT: 1-1)

Sancet (42' pen.)
Alvarez (38'), Berenguer (56'), Lekue (87'), Herrera (90+6'), Jauregizar (90+6')

The Match

Form, Standings, Stats

Barcelona

All competitions

La Liga

Last Game: Valencia 1-2 Barcelona
Saturday, August 17 at 8.30pm in La Liga

Goals
for

Top scorers

Athletic Bilbao

All competitions

La Liga

Last Game: Athletic Bilbao 1-1 Getafe
Thursday, August 15 at 6pm in La Liga

Goals
for

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Barcelona win with a probability of 58.02%. A draw had a probability of 21.2% and a win for Athletic Bilbao had a probability of 20.78%.

The most likely scoreline for a Barcelona win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.87%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (8.66%) and 1-0 (8.52%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.7%), while for an Athletic Bilbao win it was 1-2 (5.53%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.9% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted a 2-1 win for Barcelona in this match.

Result
Barcelona	Draw	Athletic Bilbao
58.02% ( 0.1)	21.19% ( -0)	20.78% ( -0.1)

Both teams to score 59.08% (

-0.16)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

61.43% (

-0.13)

38.57% (

0.13)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

39.13% (

-0.14)

60.86% (

0.14)

Barcelona Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

86.91% (

-0.02)

13.09% (

0.01)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

60.3% (

-0.03)

39.7% (

0.03)

Athletic Bilbao Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

67.98% (

-0.17)

32.02% (

0.17)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

31.52% (

-0.2)

68.48% (

0.2)

Score Analysis

Barcelona 58.02%

Athletic Bilbao 20.78%

Draw 21.19%

Barcelona	Draw	Athletic Bilbao
2-1 @ 9.87% ( 0.01) 2-0 @ 8.66% ( 0.05) 1-0 @ 8.52% ( 0.05) 3-1 @ 6.69% ( 0) 3-0 @ 5.87% ( 0.03) 3-2 @ 3.81% ( -0.02) 4-1 @ 3.4% ( -0) 4-0 @ 2.99% ( 0.01) 4-2 @ 1.94% ( -0.01) 5-1 @ 1.38% ( -0) 5-0 @ 1.21% ( 0) Other @ 3.68% Total : 58.02%	1-1 @ 9.7% ( 0.01) 2-2 @ 5.62% ( -0.02) 0-0 @ 4.19% ( 0.03) 3-3 @ 1.45% ( -0.01) Other @ 0.23% Total : 21.19%	1-2 @ 5.53% ( -0.02) 0-1 @ 4.77% ( 0.01) 0-2 @ 2.72% ( -0.01) 2-3 @ 2.13% ( -0.02) 1-3 @ 2.1% ( -0.02) 0-3 @ 1.03% ( -0.01) Other @ 2.51% Total : 20.78%