La Liga Gameweek 2
Barcelona
Aug 24, 2024 6.00pm
2
1
HT : 1 1
FT Estadi Olimpic Lluis Companys
Athletic Bilbao
  • Lamine Yamal 24' goal
  • Pau Cubarsi 41' yellowcard
  • Marc Bernal Casas 49' yellowcard
  • Robert Lewandowski 75' goal
  • Robert Lewandowski 85' yellowcard
  • Fermin Lopez 90'+6' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Yeray Alvarez 38'
  • goal Oihan Sancet 42'
  • yellowcard Alex Berenguer 56'
  • yellowcard Inigo Lekue 87'
  • yellowcard Ander Herrera 90'+6'
  • yellowcard Mikel Jauregizar 90'+6'

Barcelona vs Athletic Bilbao - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

The match

Result
Team News
Match Preview
Predicted Lineups
Injuries & Suspensions

Form, Standings, Stats

Barcelona

All competitions
Last game
Aug 17, 2024 8.30pm
Valencia 1 - 2 Barcelona
Goals scored
102
Top scorer
Robert Lewandowski

Athletic Bilbao

All competitions
Last game
Aug 15, 2024 6.00pm
Athletic Bilbao 1 - 1 Getafe
Goals scored
54
Top scorer
Oihan Sancet

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Barcelona win with a probability of 58.02%. A draw had a probability of 21.2% and a win for Athletic Bilbao had a probability of 20.78%.

The most likely scoreline for a Barcelona win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.87%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (8.66%) and 1-0 (8.52%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.7%), while for an Athletic Bilbao win it was 1-2 (5.53%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.9% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted a 2-1 win for Barcelona in this match.

Result

Barcelona 58.02% ▲ (+0.11)
Draw 21.19% ▼ (-0.01)
Athletic Bilbao 20.78% ▼ (-0.11)

Both Teams to Score: 

59.08% ▼ (-0.16)

Goals

Over 2.5 61.43% ▼ (-0.14)
Under 2.5 38.57% ▲ (+0.14)
Over 3.5 39.13% ▼ (-0.15)
Under 3.5 60.86% ▲ (+0.15)
Over 4.5 21.45% ▼ (-0.12)
Under 4.5 78.55% ▲ (+0.12)

Barcelona Goals

Over 0.5 86.91% ▼ (-0.02)
Under 0.5 13.09% ▲ (+0.02)
Over 1.5 60.3% ▼ (-0.03)
Under 1.5 39.7% ▲ (+0.03)

Athletic Bilbao Goals

Over 0.5 67.98% ▼ (-0.18)
Under 0.5 32.02% ▲ (+0.18)
Over 1.5 31.52% ▼ (-0.20)
Under 1.5 68.48% ▲ (+0.20)

Score analysis

Barcelona 58.02%
Draw 21.19%
Athletic Bilbao 20.78%
Barcelona
2-1 @ 9.87% ▲ (+0.01)
2-0 @ 8.66% ▲ (+0.05)
1-0 @ 8.52% ▲ (+0.05)
3-1 @ 6.69% ▲ (+0.01)
3-0 @ 5.87% ▲ (+0.03)
3-2 @ 3.81% ▼ (-0.02)
4-1 @ 3.4% ▼ (-0.01)
4-0 @ 2.99% ▲ (+0.02)
4-2 @ 1.94% ▼ (-0.02)
5-1 @ 1.38% ▼ (-0.01)
5-0 @ 1.21% ▲ (+0.01)
Other @ 3.68%
Total : 58.02%
Draw
1-1 @ 9.7% ▲ (+0.02)
2-2 @ 5.62% ▼ (-0.03)
0-0 @ 4.19% ▲ (+0.03)
3-3 @ 1.45% ▼ (-0.02)
Other @ 0.23%
Total : 21.19%
Athletic Bilbao
1-2 @ 5.53% ▼ (-0.03)
0-1 @ 4.77% ▲ (+0.01)
0-2 @ 2.72% ▼ (-0.01)
2-3 @ 2.13% ▼ (-0.02)
1-3 @ 2.1% ▼ (-0.02)
0-3 @ 1.03% ▼ (-0.01)
Other @ 2.51%
Total : 20.78%

Head to Head

La Liga Gameweek 27
Athletic Bilbao
Mar 3, 2024 8.00pm
0
0
HT : 0 0
FT San Mames Barria
Barcelona
  • Dani Garcia 52' yellowcard
  • Imanol 65' yellowcard
  • Alex Berenguer 86' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Ronald Araujo 32'
  • yellowcard Xavi 33'
  • yellowcard Andreas Christensen 62'
  • yellowcard Jules Kounde 88'
Copa del Rey
Athletic Bilbao
Jan 24, 2024 8.30pm
4
2
HT : 1 2
ET San Mames Barria
Barcelona
  • Gorka Guruzeta 1' goal
  • Oihan Sancet 36' yellowcard
  • Oihan Sancet 49' goal
  • Benat Prados 82' yellowcard
  • Inaki Williams 105'+2' goal
  • Ander Herrera 109' yellowcard
  • Nico Williams 120'+1' goal
  • Nico Williams 120'+2' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Xavi 17'
  • yellowcard Andreas Christensen 17'
  • goal Robert Lewandowski 26'
  • goal Lamine Yamal 32'
  • yellowcard Ferran Torres 82'
  • yellowcard Hector Fort 84'
  • yellowcard Lamine Yamal 95'
  • yellowcard Frenkie de Jong 115'
  • yellowcard Sergi Roberto 117'
La Liga Gameweek 10
Barcelona
Oct 22, 2023 8.00pm
1
0
HT : 0 0
FT Estadi Olimpic Lluis Companys
Athletic Bilbao
  • Gavi 16' yellowcard
  • Oriol Romeu 41' yellowcard
  • Marc Guiu 80' goal
  • M. Guiu 83' yellowcard
  • Marc Guiu 83' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Dani Garcia 37'
  • yellowcard Adu Ares 73'
  • yellowcard Oscar de Marcos 89'
La Liga Gameweek 25
Athletic Bilbao
Mar 12, 2023 8.00pm
0
1
HT : 0 1
FT San Mamés Barria
Barcelona
  • goal Raphinha 45'+1'
La Liga Gameweek 11
Barcelona
Oct 23, 2022 8.00pm
4
0
HT : 3 0
FT Spotify Camp Nou
Athletic Bilbao
  • Ousmane Dembele 12' goal
  • Sergi Roberto 18' goal
  • Robert Lewandowski 22' goal
  • Ferran Torres 73' goal
La Liga Gameweek 26
Barcelona
Feb 27, 2022 8.00pm
4
0
HT : 1 0
FT
Athletic Bilbao
  • Pierre-Emerick Aubameyang 37' goal
  • Sergio Busquets 48' yellowcard
  • Gerard Pique 70' yellowcard
  • Ousmane Dembele 73' goal
  • Luuk de Jong 90' goal
  • Memphis Depay 90'+3' goal
  • yellowcard Mikel Balenziaga 54'

Form Data

Valencia 1 - 2 Barcelona
Barcelona 0 - 3 Monaco
Barcelona 2 - 2 AC Milan
Real Madrid 1 - 2 Barcelona
Barcelona 2 - 2 Man City
Sevilla 1 - 2 Barcelona
Athletic Bilbao 1 - 1 Getafe
Stuttgart 4 - 0 Athletic Bilbao
Aston Villa 3 - 2 Athletic Bilbao
Athletic Bilbao 2 - 1 Osasuna
Athletic Bilbao 1 - 0 Eibar
Athletic Bilbao 0 - 0 Mirandes

Build-up

News
Predicted Lineups