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Robert Lewandowski
22'
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Robert Lewandowski
22'
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Gerard Martin Langreo
37'
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Gerard Martin Langreo
37'
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Robert Lewandowski
58'
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Robert Lewandowski
58'
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Marc Casado Torras
69'
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Marc Casado Torras
69'
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Quim Junyent Casanova
84'
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Quim Junyent Casanova
84'
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Luka Jovic
10'
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Luka Jovic
10'
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Christian Pulisic
15'
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Christian Pulisic
15'
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Alexis Saelemaekers
46'
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Alexis Saelemaekers
46'
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Ismael Bennacer
89'
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Ismael Bennacer
89'
Barcelona vs AC Milan - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings
Reaction
News
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The match
Match Preview
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Predicted Lineups
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Data analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Barcelona win with a probability of 49.6%. A win for AC Milan had a probability of 28.02% and a draw had a probability of 22.4%.
The most likely scoreline for a Barcelona win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.38%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (7.19%) and 2-0 (6.81%). The likeliest AC Milan win was 1-2 (6.83%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.91%).
Result
Barcelona
49.6%
▼
(-1.08)
Draw
22.38%
▲
(+0.40)
AC Milan
28.02%
▲
(+0.67)
Both Teams to Score:
63.5%
▼
(-0.91)
Goals
Over 2.5
63.44%
▼
(-1.43)
Under 2.5
36.56%
▲
(+1.43)
Over 3.5
41.29%
▼
(-1.58)
Under 3.5
58.7%
▲
(+1.58)
Over 4.5
23.19%
▼
(-1.31)
Under 4.5
76.81%
▲
(+1.30)
Barcelona Goals
Over 0.5
84.92%
▼
(-0.88)
Under 0.5
15.07%
▲
(+0.88)
Over 1.5
56.4%
▼
(-1.68)
Under 1.5
43.59%
▲
(+1.68)
AC Milan Goals
Over 0.5
74.77%
▼
(-0.30)
Under 0.5
25.22%
▲
(+0.29)
Over 1.5
40.03%
▼
(-0.41)
Under 1.5
59.96%
▲
(+0.40)
Score analysis
Barcelona
49.6%
Draw
22.38%
AC Milan
28.02%
Barcelona
2-1
@
9.38%
▲
(+0.01)
1-0 @ 7.19% ▲ (+0.29)
2-0 @ 6.81% ▲ (+0.07)
3-1 @ 5.91% ▼ (-0.19)
3-0 @ 4.29% ▼ (-0.10)
3-2 @ 4.07% ▼ (-0.16)
4-1 @ 2.8% ▼ (-0.18)
4-0 @ 2.03% ▼ (-0.11)
4-2 @ 1.93% ▼ (-0.14)
5-1 @ 1.06% ▼ (-0.11)
Other @ 4.13%
Total : 49.6%
1-0 @ 7.19% ▲ (+0.29)
2-0 @ 6.81% ▲ (+0.07)
3-1 @ 5.91% ▼ (-0.19)
3-0 @ 4.29% ▼ (-0.10)
3-2 @ 4.07% ▼ (-0.16)
4-1 @ 2.8% ▼ (-0.18)
4-0 @ 2.03% ▼ (-0.11)
4-2 @ 1.93% ▼ (-0.14)
5-1 @ 1.06% ▼ (-0.11)
Other @ 4.13%
Total : 49.6%
Draw
1-1
@
9.91%
▲
(+0.32)
2-2 @ 6.46% ▼ (-0.05)
0-0 @ 3.8% ▲ (+0.27)
3-3 @ 1.87% ▼ (-0.09)
Other @ 0.34%
Total : 22.38%
2-2 @ 6.46% ▼ (-0.05)
0-0 @ 3.8% ▲ (+0.27)
3-3 @ 1.87% ▼ (-0.09)
Other @ 0.34%
Total : 22.38%
AC Milan
1-2
@
6.83%
▲
(+0.16)
0-1 @ 5.24% ▲ (+0.32)
0-2 @ 3.61% ▲ (+0.20)
1-3 @ 3.13% ▲ (+0.05)
2-3 @ 2.97% ▼ (-0.05)
0-3 @ 1.66% ▲ (+0.08)
1-4 @ 1.08% ▲ (+0.01)
2-4 @ 1.02% ▼ (-0.03)
Other @ 2.5%
Total : 28.02%
0-1 @ 5.24% ▲ (+0.32)
0-2 @ 3.61% ▲ (+0.20)
1-3 @ 3.13% ▲ (+0.05)
2-3 @ 2.97% ▼ (-0.05)
0-3 @ 1.66% ▲ (+0.08)
1-4 @ 1.08% ▲ (+0.01)
2-4 @ 1.02% ▼ (-0.03)
Other @ 2.5%
Total : 28.02%