Club Friendlies 1
Real Madrid
Aug 4, 2024 12.00am
1
2
HT : 0 2
FT MetLife Stadium
Barcelona
  • Mario Martin Rielves 76' yellowcard
  • Mario Martin Rielves 76' yellowcard
  • Nico Paz 82' goal
  • Nico Paz 82' goal
  • Jacobo Ramon Naveros 90' yellowcard
  • Jacobo Ramon Naveros 90' yellowcard
  • goal Pau Victor Delgado 42'
  • goal Pau Victor Delgado 42'
  • goal Pau Victor Delgado 54'
  • goal Pau Victor Delgado 54'
  • yellowcard Marc Bernal Casas 67'
  • yellowcard Marc Bernal Casas 67'
  • yellowcard Hector Fort 90'+2'
  • yellowcard Hector Fort 90'+2'

Real Madrid vs Barcelona - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

The match

Match Preview
Predicted Lineups

Form, Standings, Stats

Real Madrid

All competitions
Club Friendlies 1
Last game
Aug 1, 2024 1.30am
AC Milan 1 - 0 Real Madrid

Barcelona

All competitions
Club Friendlies 1
Last game
Jul 31, 2024 1.20am
Barcelona 2 - 2 Man City

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Real Madrid win with a probability of 55.39%. A win for Barcelona had a probability of 23.79% and a draw had a probability of 20.8%.

The most likely scoreline for a Real Madrid win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.48%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (7.09%) and 1-0 (6.7%). The likeliest Barcelona win was 1-2 (5.98%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (8.94%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 2-1 win for Real Madrid in this match.

Result

Real Madrid 55.39% ▲ (+2.47)
Draw 20.82% ▼ (-0.98)
Barcelona 23.79% ▼ (-1.49)

Both Teams to Score: 

64.85% ▲ (+1.87)

Goals

Over 2.5 67.07% ▲ (+3.18)
Under 2.5 32.93% ▼ (-3.18)
Over 3.5 45.35% ▲ (+3.58)
Under 3.5 54.65% ▼ (-3.58)
Over 4.5 26.6% ▲ (+3.02)
Under 4.5 73.4% ▼ (-3.02)

Real Madrid Goals

Over 0.5 87.98% ▲ (+1.80)
Under 0.5 12.02% ▼ (-1.81)
Over 1.5 62.51% ▲ (+3.69)
Under 1.5 37.49% ▼ (-3.69)

Barcelona Goals

Over 0.5 73.71% ▲ (+0.63)
Under 0.5 26.29% ▼ (-0.63)
Over 1.5 38.59% ▲ (+0.83)
Under 1.5 61.41% ▼ (-0.83)

Score analysis

Real Madrid 55.39%
Draw 20.82%
Barcelona 23.79%
Real Madrid
2-1 @ 9.48% ▼ (-0.09)
2-0 @ 7.09% ▼ (-0.20)
1-0 @ 6.7% ▼ (-0.67)
3-1 @ 6.69% ▲ (+0.39)
3-0 @ 5.01% ▲ (+0.21)
3-2 @ 4.47% ▲ (+0.34)
4-1 @ 3.54% ▲ (+0.43)
4-0 @ 2.65% ▲ (+0.28)
4-2 @ 2.37% ▲ (+0.32)
5-1 @ 1.5% ▲ (+0.27)
5-0 @ 1.12% ▼ (-92.98)
4-3 @ 1.05% ▼ (-88.55)
5-2 @ 1% ▼ (-80.00)
Other @ 2.71%
Total : 55.39%
Draw
1-1 @ 8.94% ▼ (-0.72)
2-2 @ 6.33% ▲ (+0.06)
0-0 @ 3.16% ▼ (-0.56)
3-3 @ 1.99% ▲ (+0.19)
Other @ 0.4%
Total : 20.82%
Barcelona
1-2 @ 5.98% ▼ (-0.37)
0-1 @ 4.22% ▼ (-0.66)
0-2 @ 2.82% ▼ (-0.39)
2-3 @ 2.82% ▲ (+0.08)
1-3 @ 2.66% ▼ (-0.12)
0-3 @ 1.26% ▼ (-0.15)
Other @ 4.04%
Total : 23.79%

Head to Head

La Liga Gameweek 32
Real Madrid
Apr 21, 2024 8.00pm
3
2
HT : 1 1
FT Estadio Santiago Bernabeu
Barcelona
  • Vinicius Junior 18' goal
  • Eduardo Camavinga 34' yellowcard
  • Lucas Vazquez 73' goal
  • Vinicius Junior 75' yellowcard
  • Luka Modric 83' yellowcard
  • Jude Bellingham 90'+1' goal
  • goal Andreas Christensen 6'
  • goal Fermin Lopez 69'
  • yellowcard Jules Kounde 75'
  • yellowcard Pau Cubarsi 90'
Supercopa de Espana
Real Madrid
Jan 14, 2024 7.00pm
4
1
HT : 3 1
FT KSU Soccer Stadium
Barcelona
  • Vinicius Junior 7' goal
  • Vinicius Junior 10' goal
  • Vinicius Junior 39' goal
  • Jude Bellingham 43' yellowcard
  • Antonio Rudiger 62' yellowcard
  • Rodrygo 64' goal
  • goal Robert Lewandowski 33'
  • yellowcard Ronald Araujo 37'
  • yellowcard Sergi Roberto 39'
  • redcard Ronald Araujo 71'
La Liga Gameweek 11
Barcelona
Oct 28, 2023 3.15pm
1
2
HT : 1 0
FT Estadi Olimpic Lluis Companys
Real Madrid
  • Ilkay Gundogan 6' goal
  • Fermin Lopez 17' yellowcard
  • Ferran Torres 45'+2' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Dani Carvajal 61'
  • goal Jude Bellingham 68'
  • goal Jude Bellingham 90'+2'
Club Friendlies 1
Barcelona
Jul 29, 2023 10.00pm
3
0
HT : 1 0
FT AT&T Stadium
Real Madrid
  • Ousmane Dembele 15' goal
  • Frenkie de Jong 41' yellowcard
  • Jules Kounde 62' yellowcard
  • Oriol Romeu 71' yellowcard
  • Fermin Lopez Marin 85' goal
  • Ferran Torres 90'+1' goal
  • yellowcard Aurelien Tchouameni 25'
  • yellowcard Eduardo Camavinga 34'
  • yellowcard Dani Carvajal 45'+3'
  • yellowcard David Alaba 81'
Copa del Rey
Barcelona
Apr 5, 2023 8.00pm
0
4
HT : 0 1
FT Spotify Camp Nou
Real Madrid
  • goal Vinicius Junior 45'+1'
  • goal Karim Benzema 50'
  • goal Karim Benzema 58'
  • goal Karim Benzema 80'
La Liga Gameweek 26
Barcelona
Mar 19, 2023 8.00pm
2
1
HT : 1 1
FT Spotify Camp Nou
Real Madrid
  • Sergi Roberto 45' goal
  • Franck Kessie 90'+2' goal
  • goal Ronald Araujo 9' (OG)

Form Data

AC Milan 1 - 0 Real Madrid
Dortmund 0 - 2 Real Madrid
Real Madrid 0 - 0 Betis
Villarreal 4 - 4 Real Madrid
Real Madrid 5 - 0 Alaves
Granada 0 - 4 Real Madrid
Barcelona 2 - 2 Man City
Sevilla 1 - 2 Barcelona
Barcelona 3 - 0 Rayo Vallecano
Almeria 0 - 2 Barcelona
Barcelona 2 - 0 Real Sociedad
Girona 4 - 2 Barcelona

Build-up

Predicted Lineups