Real Madrid logo
Club Friendlies
Aug 4, 2024 at 12am UK
MetLife Stadium
Barcelona logo

Real Madrid
1 - 2
Barcelona

Paz (82', 82')
Martin Rielves (76'), Martin Rielves (76'), Ramon Naveros (90'), Ramon Naveros (90')
FT(HT: 0-2)
Victor Delgado (42', 42', 54', 54')
Bernal Casas (67'), Bernal Casas (67'), Fort (90+2'), Fort (90+2')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's friendly clash between Real Madrid and Barcelona, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Predicted Lineups

Sports Mole looks at how Barcelona could line up in Saturday's pre-season friendly with Real Madrid.

Form, Standings, Stats

Real Madrid

All competitions
Club Friendlies 1
Last Game: AC Milan 1-0 Real Madrid
Thursday, August 1 at 1.30am in Club Friendlies 1

Barcelona

All competitions
Club Friendlies 1
Last Game: Barcelona 2-2 Man City (4-1 pen.)
Wednesday, July 31 at 1.20am in Club Friendlies 1

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Real Madrid win with a probability of 55.39%. A win for Barcelona had a probability of 23.79% and a draw had a probability of 20.8%.

The most likely scoreline for a Real Madrid win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.48%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (7.09%) and 1-0 (6.7%). The likeliest Barcelona win was 1-2 (5.98%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (8.94%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 2-1 win for Real Madrid in this match.

Result
Real MadridDrawBarcelona
55.39% (2.46 2.46)20.82% (-0.974 -0.97)23.79% (-1.485 -1.49)
Both teams to score 64.85% (1.863 1.86)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
67.07% (3.179 3.18)32.93% (-3.178 -3.18)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
45.35% (3.573 3.57)54.65% (-3.572 -3.57)
Real Madrid Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
87.98% (1.8 1.8)12.02% (-1.8 -1.8)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
62.51% (3.688 3.69)37.49% (-3.688 -3.69)
Barcelona Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
73.71% (0.621 0.62)26.29% (-0.622 -0.62)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
38.59% (0.822 0.82)61.41% (-0.821 -0.82)
Score Analysis
    Real Madrid 55.39%
    Barcelona 23.79%
    Draw 20.82%
Real MadridDrawBarcelona
2-1 @ 9.48% (-0.085000000000001 -0.09)
2-0 @ 7.09% (-0.191 -0.19)
1-0 @ 6.7% (-0.665 -0.67)
3-1 @ 6.69% (0.385 0.39)
3-0 @ 5.01% (0.204 0.2)
3-2 @ 4.47% (0.331 0.33)
4-1 @ 3.54% (0.424 0.42)
4-0 @ 2.65% (0.275 0.28)
4-2 @ 2.37% (0.319 0.32)
5-1 @ 1.5% (0.267 0.27)
5-0 @ 1.12% (0.183 0.18)
4-3 @ 1.05% (0.158 0.16)
5-2 @ 1% (0.193 0.19)
Other @ 2.71%
Total : 55.39%
1-1 @ 8.94% (-0.718 -0.72)
2-2 @ 6.33% (0.053999999999999 0.05)
0-0 @ 3.16% (-0.559 -0.56)
3-3 @ 1.99% (0.18 0.18)
Other @ 0.4%
Total : 20.82%
1-2 @ 5.98% (-0.367 -0.37)
0-1 @ 4.22% (-0.66 -0.66)
0-2 @ 2.82% (-0.385 -0.39)
2-3 @ 2.82% (0.073 0.07)
1-3 @ 2.66% (-0.114 -0.11)
0-3 @ 1.26% (-0.146 -0.15)
2-4 @ 0.94% (0.04 0.04)
Other @ 3.1%
Total : 23.79%

How you voted: Barcelona vs Real Madrid

Barcelona
35.8%
Draw
16.1%
Real Madrid
48.2%
218
Head to Head
Apr 21, 2024 8pm
Gameweek 32
Real Madrid
3-2
Barcelona
Junior (18' pen.), Vazquez (73'), Bellingham (90+1')
Camavinga (34'), Junior (75'), Modric (83')
Christensen (6'), Lopez (69')
Kounde (75'), Cubarsi (90')
> Match Report
Jan 14, 2024 7pm
Final
Real Madrid
4-1
Barcelona
Junior (7', 10', 39' pen.), Rodrygo (64')
Bellingham (43'), Rudiger (62')
Lewandowski (33')
Araujo (37'), Roberto (39')
Araujo (71')
> Match Report
Oct 28, 2023 3.15pm
Gameweek 11
Barcelona
1-2
Real Madrid
Gundogan (6')
Lopez (17'), Torres (45+2')
Bellingham (68', 90+2')
Carvajal (61')
> Match Report
Jul 29, 2023 10pm
Club Friendlies
Barcelona
3-0
Real Madrid
Dembele (15'), Lopez Marin (85'), Torres (90+1')
de Jong (41'), Kounde (62'), Romeu (71')

Tchouameni (25'), Camavinga (34'), Carvajal (45+3'), Alaba (81')
> Preview
Apr 5, 2023 8pm
Semi-Finals 2nd Leg
Barcelona
0-4
Real Madrid
Junior (45+1'), Benzema (50', 58', 80')
> Match Report
rhs 2.0


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