La Liga

La Liga | Gameweek 37

May 19, 2024 at 6pm UK

Estadio de la Ceramica

Villarreal
4 - 4
Real Madrid

Sorloth (39', 48', 52', 56')
Moreno (45+5'), Traore (84'), Marcelino (90+1')

FT(HT: 1-4)

Guler (14', 45+2'), Joselu (30'), Vazquez (40')
Camavinga (66'), Ceballos (86')

Reaction

Real Madrid coach Carlo Ancelotti on January 3, 2024

"He has a special talent" - Carlo Ancelotti hails Real Madrid teenager

Real Madrid boss Carlo Ancelotti lavishes praise on Arda Guler following the teenager's brace against Villarreal.

May 19, 20:16

The Match

Form, Standings, Stats

Villarreal

All competitions

Last Game: Girona 0-1 Villarreal
Tuesday, May 14 at 9pm in La Liga

Goals
for

Top scorers

Real Madrid

All competitions

La Liga

Last Game: Real Madrid 5-0 Alaves
Tuesday, May 14 at 8.30pm in La Liga

Goals
for

Top scorers

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Real Madrid win with a probability of 41.66%. A win for Villarreal had a probability of 34.82% and a draw had a probability of 23.5%.

The most likely scoreline for a Real Madrid win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.77%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (7.04%) and 0-2 (5.84%). The likeliest Villarreal win was 2-1 (7.93%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.56%). The actual scoreline of 4-4 was predicted with a 0.3% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a draw in this match.

Result
Villarreal	Draw	Real Madrid
34.82% ( 0.02)	23.52% ( 0.02)	41.66% ( -0.04)

Both teams to score 62.91% (

-0.05)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

61.15% (

-0.07)

38.84% (

0.07)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

38.84% (

-0.08)

61.15% (

0.08)

Villarreal Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

77.69% (

-0.02)

22.31% (

0.02)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

44.22% (

-0.03)

55.78% (

0.03)

Real Madrid Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

80.97% (

-0.05)

19.03% (

0.05)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

49.4% (

-0.08)

50.6% (

0.08)

Score Analysis

Villarreal 34.82%

Real Madrid 41.66%

Draw 23.51%

Villarreal	Draw	Real Madrid
2-1 @ 7.93% ( 0) 1-0 @ 6.37% ( 0.02) 2-0 @ 4.78% ( 0.01) 3-1 @ 3.96% 3-2 @ 3.29% ( -0.01) 3-0 @ 2.39% ( 0) 4-1 @ 1.49% ( -0) 4-2 @ 1.23% ( -0) Other @ 3.39% Total : 34.82%	1-1 @ 10.56% ( 0.01) 2-2 @ 6.58% ( -0.01) 0-0 @ 4.25% ( 0.01) 3-3 @ 1.82% ( -0.01) Other @ 0.31% Total : 23.51%	1-2 @ 8.77% ( -0) 0-1 @ 7.04% ( 0.01) 0-2 @ 5.84% ( 0) 1-3 @ 4.85% ( -0.01) 2-3 @ 3.64% ( -0.01) 0-3 @ 3.23% ( -0) 1-4 @ 2.01% ( -0.01) 2-4 @ 1.51% ( -0.01) 0-4 @ 1.34% ( -0) Other @ 3.42% Total : 41.66%