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Champions League header

Champions League
Dortmund logo
Champions League | Final
Jun 1, 2024 at 8pm UK
Wembley Stadium
Real Madrid logo

Dortmund
vs.
Real Madrid

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Champions League clash between Borussia Dortmund and Real Madrid, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Predicted Lineups

Sports Mole takes an in-depth look at how Borussia Dortmund could line up for Saturday's Champions League final against Real Madrid.

Injuries & Suspensions

Sports Mole rounds up all of Real Madrid's latest injury and suspension news ahead of Saturday's Champions League final against Borussia Dortmund.

Form, Standings, Stats

Borussia Dortmund

All competitions
Champions League
Last Game: Dortmund 4-0 Darmstadt
Saturday, May 18 at 2.30pm in Bundesliga

Real Madrid

All competitions
Champions League
Last Game: Real Madrid 0-0 Betis
Saturday, May 25 at 8pm in La Liga

We say: Borussia Dortmund 0-1 Real Madrid

 By conquering the group of death, completing a remarkable turnaround versus Atletico and keeping PSG at bay over two legs, not a soul can question Dortmund's place in the showpiece event, but Terzic and co will be under no illusions that they were fortunate to benefit from Parisien profligacy in the semis. Real's path to Wembley has not been smooth-sailing by any means either, but whether it is the Blancos players thriving under the weight of expectation, the rousing chants of their fans or just the power of the Ancelotti eyebrow, the 14-time champions just get it done. On Saturday, we expect no different. Each of the last four finals have been decided by a solitary goal, and Champions League lightning could strike for a fifth time in London, as Real Madrid reclaim their status as Europe's top dogs. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats, suggests the most likely outcome of this match is a Real Madrid win with a probability of 52.33%. A win for Borussia Dortmund has a probability of 26.65% and a draw has a probability of 21%.

The most likely scoreline for a Real Madrid win is 1-2 with a probability of 9.15%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome are 1-3 (6.41%) and 0-2 (6.27%). The likeliest Borussia Dortmund win is 2-1 (6.37%), while for a drawn scoreline it is 1-1 (8.72%).

Result
Borussia DortmundDrawReal Madrid
26.65% (-0.101 -0.1) 21.01% (-0.042999999999999 -0.04) 52.33% (0.142 0.14)
Both teams to score 67.39% (0.064999999999998 0.06)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
69.03% (0.124 0.12)30.97% (-0.124 -0.12)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
47.65% (0.147 0.15)52.35% (-0.148 -0.15)
Borussia Dortmund Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
76.79% (0.0010000000000048 0)23.21% (-0.0019999999999989 -0)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
42.89% (-0.0010000000000048 -0)57.11% (-0.00099999999999767 -0)
Real Madrid Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
87.76% (0.082999999999998 0.08)12.24% (-0.084 -0.08)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
62.05% (0.17599999999999 0.18)37.95% (-0.177 -0.18)
Score Analysis
    Borussia Dortmund 26.65%
    Real Madrid 52.33%
    Draw 21.02%
Borussia DortmundDrawReal Madrid
2-1 @ 6.37% (-0.023 -0.02)
1-0 @ 4.15% (-0.028 -0.03)
3-2 @ 3.26% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
3-1 @ 3.1% (-0.011 -0.01)
2-0 @ 3.03% (-0.021 -0.02)
3-0 @ 1.48% (-0.01 -0.01)
4-2 @ 1.19%
4-1 @ 1.13% (-0.004 -0)
Other @ 2.96%
Total : 26.65%
1-1 @ 8.72% (-0.031000000000001 -0.03)
2-2 @ 6.69% (-0.0020000000000007 -0)
0-0 @ 2.84% (-0.02 -0.02)
3-3 @ 2.28% (0.0070000000000001 0.01)
Other @ 0.5%
Total : 21.02%
1-2 @ 9.15% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
1-3 @ 6.41% (0.019 0.02)
0-2 @ 6.27% (-0.0019999999999998 -0)
0-1 @ 5.97% (-0.022 -0.02)
2-3 @ 4.68% (0.014 0.01)
0-3 @ 4.39% (0.012 0.01)
1-4 @ 3.37% (0.021 0.02)
2-4 @ 2.46% (0.015 0.02)
0-4 @ 2.3% (0.014 0.01)
1-5 @ 1.41% (0.013 0.01)
3-4 @ 1.2% (0.008 0.01)
2-5 @ 1.03% (0.01 0.01)
0-5 @ 0.97% (0.009 0.01)
Other @ 2.73%
Total : 52.33%

Who will win Saturday's Champions League final between Dortmund and Real Madrid?

Borussia Dortmund
Real Madrid
Borussia Dortmund
36.3%
Real Madrid
63.7%
245
Head to Head
Dec 6, 2017 7.45pm
Group Stage
Real Madrid
3-2
Dortmund
Mayoral (8'), Ronaldo (12'), Vazquez (81')
Aubameyang (43', 49')
Bartra (16')
> Match Report
Sep 26, 2017 7.45pm
Group Stage
Dortmund
1-3
Real Madrid
Aubameyang (54')
Toprak (52'), Weigl (63')
Bale (18'), Ronaldo (49', 79')
Bale (29'), Carvajal (39'), Modric (40')
> Match Report
Dec 7, 2016 7.45pm
Group Stage
Real Madrid
2-2
Dortmund
Benzema (28', 53')
Modric (38'), Casemiro (69')
Aubameyang (60'), Reus (88')
Papastathopoulos (71')
> Match Report
Sep 27, 2016 7.45pm
Group Stage
Dortmund
2-2
Real Madrid
Aubameyang (43'), Schurrle (87')
Schmelzer (50'), Weigl (74'), Guerreiro (77'), Aubameyang (93')
Ronaldo (17'), Varane (68')
Ramos (63')
> Match Report
Apr 8, 2014 7.45pm
Quarter-Finals
Dortmund
2-0
Real Madrid
> Match Report
Build-up
Liverpool celebrate winning the 2005 Champions League after the 'Miracle of Istanbul'
Top 10 European Cup/Champions League finals of all time
Ahead of the 2023-24 Champions League final between Borussia Dortmund and Real Madrid, Sports Mole ranks the 10 greatest finals in the history of the competition.
10:14
 Real Madrid coach Carlo Ancelotti before the match on March 5, 2024
Real Madrid suffer major injury blow ahead of Champions League final
Real Madrid's Aurelien Tchouameni is a major doubt for the Champions League final due to a foot injury, according to a report.
May 9, 15:59
 Real Madrid coach Carlo Ancelotti before the match on March 5, 2024
Carlo Ancelotti admits to "doubts" over key man's fitness for Champions League final
Real Madrid boss Carlo Ancelotti reveals that Aurelien Tchouameni is a doubt for the Champions League final against Borussia Dortmund.
May 10, 14:10
 Real Madrid's Aurelien Tchouameni in action with Barcelona's Alejandro Balde on October 28, 2023
Aurelien Tchouameni provides injury update ahead of Champions League final
Real Madrid midfielder Aurelien Tchouameni expects to be fit for the Champions League final against Borussia Dortmund on June 1.
May 12, 15:39
 Real Madrid coach Carlo Ancelotti during the press conference on May 7, 2024
Real Madrid midfielder 'set to miss Champions League final'
Real Madrid suffer an injury blow ahead of next month's Champions League final against Borussia Dortmund at Wembley.
May 20, 23:32
 Real Madrid coach Carlo Ancelotti reacts on April 9, 2024
Key Real Madrid midfielder ruled out of Champions League final
Real Madrid manager Carlo Ancelotti reveals that midfielder Aurielien Tchouameni will miss the Champions League final against Borussia Dortmund.
May 24, 19:23
 Real Madrid's Andriy Lunin and Aurelien Tchouameni react after the match on April 30, 2024
Real Madrid injury news and return dates before Champions League final - Lunin, Tchouameni
Sports Mole rounds up all of Real Madrid's latest injury and suspension news ahead of Saturday's Champions League final against Borussia Dortmund.
May 30, 06:54
 Borussia Dortmund's Sebastien Haller celebrates scoring their first goal on April 10, 2024
Borussia Dortmund injury news, return dates before Real Madrid - Haller, Bensebaini
Sports Mole rounds up all of Borussia Dortmund's latest injury and suspension news ahead of Saturday's Champions League final against Real Madrid.
May 30, 07:13
 Borussia Dortmund's Mats Hummels celebrates scoring their first goal with teammates on May 7, 2024
How Borussia Dortmund could line up against Real Madrid
Sports Mole takes an in-depth look at how Borussia Dortmund could line up for Saturday's Champions League final against Real Madrid.
May 30, 09:27
 Real Madrid's Aurelien Tchouameni during the warm up before the match on September 3, 2022
How Real Madrid could line up against Borussia Dortmund
Sports Mole takes an in-depth look at how Real Madrid could line up for Saturday's Champions League final against Borussia Dortmund.
May 30, 09:37
 Real Madrid players celebrate their win over Bayern Munich on May 8, 2024
Borussia Dortmund vs. Real Madrid: How do both squads compare ahead of Champions League final?
Ahead of Saturday's Champions League final between Borussia Dortmund and Real Madrid, Sports Mole takes a look at how their star-studded squads compare.
May 30, 14:10
 Borussia Dortmund celebrate with the trophy after winning the Champions League final on May 28, 1997
A closer look at Borussia Dortmund's Champions League final record
Sports Mole takes a closer look at Borussia Dortmund's record in the European Cup/Champions League final ahead of Saturday's showdown with Real Madrid at Wembley Stadium.
May 30, 14:25
 Real Madrid celebrate beating Juventus in the Champions League final on May 20, 1998
A closer look at Real Madrid's Champions League final record
Sports Mole takes a closer look at Real Madrid's record in the European Cup/Champions League final ahead of Saturday's showdown with Borussia Dortmund at Wembley Stadium.
May 30, 14:35
 Real Madrid's Andriy Lunin and Aurelien Tchouameni react after the match on April 30, 2024
Real Madrid Champions League hero rules himself out of final
Real Madrid goalkeeper Andriy Lunin has seemingly ruled himself out of Saturday's Champions League final against Borussia Dortmund due to an illness.
11:33
rhs 2.0
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