Bundesliga

Bundesliga | Gameweek 34

May 18, 2024 at 2.30pm UK

Signal-Iduna-Park

Dortmund
4 - 0
Darmstadt

Maatsen (30'), Reus (38'), Brandt (72'), Malen (88')

FT(HT: 2-0)

Klarer (7'), Gjasula (45'), Vilhelmsson (59')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Bundesliga clash between Borussia Dortmund and SV Darmstadt 98, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Borussia Dortmund

All competitions

Bundesliga

Last Game: Mainz 3-0 Dortmund
Saturday, May 11 at 5.30pm in Bundesliga

Goals
for

Top scorers

SV Darmstadt 98

All competitions

Last Game: Darmstadt 0-6 Hoffenheim
Sunday, May 12 at 2.30pm in Bundesliga

Goals
for

Top scorers

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Borussia Dortmund win with a probability of 70.96%. A draw had a probability of 15.7% and a win for SV Darmstadt 98 had a probability of 13.34%.

The most likely scoreline for a Borussia Dortmund win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.84%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 3-1 (8.07%) and 2-0 (7.74%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (6.45%), while for a SV Darmstadt 98 win it was 1-2 (3.68%). The actual scoreline of 4-0 was predicted with a 4.8% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Borussia Dortmund would win this match.

Result
Borussia Dortmund	Draw	SV Darmstadt 98
70.96% ( 0.15)	15.69% ( 0.14)	13.34% ( -0.29)

Both teams to score 63.66% (

-1.57)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

74.41% (

-1.46)

25.6% (

1.47)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

54.31% (

-1.92)

45.69% (

1.93)

Borussia Dortmund Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

93.55% (

-0.31)

6.45% (

0.32)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

75.86% (

-0.88)

24.14% (

0.88)

SV Darmstadt 98 Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

68.06% (

-1.44)

31.95% (

1.44)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

31.6% (

-1.67)

68.4% (

1.68)

Score Analysis

Borussia Dortmund 70.97%

SV Darmstadt 98 13.35%

Draw 15.69%

Borussia Dortmund	Draw	SV Darmstadt 98
2-1 @ 8.84% ( 0.18) 3-1 @ 8.07% ( 0.02) 2-0 @ 7.74% ( 0.45) 3-0 @ 7.07% ( 0.29) 1-0 @ 5.65% ( 0.43) 4-1 @ 5.53% ( -0.09) 4-0 @ 4.85% ( 0.11) 3-2 @ 4.61% ( -0.18) 4-2 @ 3.16% ( -0.18) 5-1 @ 3.03% ( -0.11) 5-0 @ 2.66% ( 0.01) 5-2 @ 1.73% ( -0.13) 6-1 @ 1.38% ( -0.08) 6-0 @ 1.21% ( -0.02) 4-3 @ 1.2% ( -0.12) Other @ 4.25% Total : 70.97%	1-1 @ 6.45% ( 0.25) 2-2 @ 5.04% ( -0.1) 0-0 @ 2.06% ( 0.19) 3-3 @ 1.75% ( -0.14) Other @ 0.39% Total : 15.69%	1-2 @ 3.68% ( -0) 0-1 @ 2.35% ( 0.13) 2-3 @ 1.92% ( -0.12) 1-3 @ 1.4% ( -0.06) 0-2 @ 1.34% ( 0.02) Other @ 2.65% Total : 13.35%