/https%3A%2F%2Fsportsmole-media-prod.s3.gra.io.cloud.ovh.net%2F19%2F06%2Fmailog.png)
/https%3A%2F%2Fsportsmole-media-prod.s3.gra.io.cloud.ovh.net%2F19%2F06%2Flogdor.png)
-
Leandro Barreiro
12'
-
Lee Jae-sung
19'
-
Lee Jae-sung
23'
-
Andreas Hanche-Olsen
45'+1'
-
Leandro Barreiro
56'
-
Marco Reus
41'
-
Nico Schlotterbeck
80'
Mainz 05 vs Borussia Dortmund - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings
The match
Match Preview
/https%3A%2F%2Fsportsmole-media-prod.s3.gra.io.cloud.ovh.net%2F24%2F19%2Fborussia-dortmund.jpg)
Form, Standings, Stats
Data analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Mainz 05 win with a probability of 49.24%. A win for Borussia Dortmund had a probability of 28.34% and a draw had a probability of 22.4%.
The most likely scoreline for a Mainz 05 win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.35%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (7.15%) and 2-0 (6.74%). The likeliest Borussia Dortmund win was 1-2 (6.88%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.92%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 4.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Mainz 05 would win this match.
Result
Mainz 05
49.24%
▼
(-0.01)
Draw
22.41%
▲
(+0.01)
Borussia Dortmund
28.34%
▲
(+0.01)
Both Teams to Score:
63.62%
▼
(-0.01)
Goals
Over 2.5
63.49%
▼
(-0.01)
Under 2.5
36.5%
▲
(+0.01)
Over 3.5
41.35%
▼
(-0.01)
Under 3.5
58.65%
▲
(+0.01)
Over 4.5
23.23%
▼
(-0.01)
Under 4.5
76.76%
▲
(+0.01)
Mainz 05 Goals
Over 0.5
84.82%
▼
(-0.01)
Under 0.5
15.17%
▲
(+0.01)
Over 1.5
56.21%
▼
(-0.02)
Under 1.5
43.79%
▲
(+0.02)
Borussia Dortmund Goals
Over 0.5
75.01%
▼
(-0.01)
Under 0.5
24.99%
▲
(+0.01)
Over 1.5
40.36%
▼
(-0.01)
Under 1.5
59.64%
▲
(+0.01)
Score analysis
Mainz 05
49.24%
Draw
22.41%
Borussia Dortmund
28.34%
Mainz 05
2-1
@
9.35%
▼
(-0.01)
1-0 @ 7.15% ▲ (+0.01)
2-0 @ 6.74%
3-1 @ 5.88% ▼ (-0.01)
3-0 @ 4.24% ▼ (-0.01)
3-2 @ 4.07% ▼ (-0.01)
4-1 @ 2.77% ▼ (-0.01)
4-0 @ 2% ▼ (-0.01)
4-2 @ 1.92% ▼ (-0.01)
5-1 @ 1.04% ▼ (-0.01)
Other @ 4.09%
Total : 49.24%
1-0 @ 7.15% ▲ (+0.01)
2-0 @ 6.74%
3-1 @ 5.88% ▼ (-0.01)
3-0 @ 4.24% ▼ (-0.01)
3-2 @ 4.07% ▼ (-0.01)
4-1 @ 2.77% ▼ (-0.01)
4-0 @ 2% ▼ (-0.01)
4-2 @ 1.92% ▼ (-0.01)
5-1 @ 1.04% ▼ (-0.01)
Other @ 4.09%
Total : 49.24%
Draw
1-1
@
9.92%
▲
(+0.01)
2-2 @ 6.48%
0-0 @ 3.79% ▲ (+0.01)
3-3 @ 1.88% ▼ (-0.01)
Other @ 0.34%
Total : 22.41%
2-2 @ 6.48%
0-0 @ 3.79% ▲ (+0.01)
3-3 @ 1.88% ▼ (-0.01)
Other @ 0.34%
Total : 22.41%
Borussia Dortmund
1-2
@
6.88%
▲
(+0.01)
0-1 @ 5.26% ▲ (+0.01)
0-2 @ 3.65% ▲ (+0.01)
1-3 @ 3.18%
2-3 @ 3% ▼ (-0.01)
0-3 @ 1.69% ▲ (+0.01)
1-4 @ 1.1%
2-4 @ 1.04%
Other @ 2.56%
Total : 28.34%
0-1 @ 5.26% ▲ (+0.01)
0-2 @ 3.65% ▲ (+0.01)
1-3 @ 3.18%
2-3 @ 3% ▼ (-0.01)
0-3 @ 1.69% ▲ (+0.01)
1-4 @ 1.1%
2-4 @ 1.04%
Other @ 2.56%
Total : 28.34%