Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a AC Milan win with a probability of 60.82%. A draw had a probability of 19.7% and a win for Real Madrid had a probability of 19.47%.

The most likely scoreline for an AC Milan win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.67%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (8.09%) and 1-0 (7.24%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.66%), while for a Real Madrid win it was 1-2 (5.18%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 7.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that AC Milan would win this match.

Result
AC Milan	Draw	Real Madrid
60.82% ( 0.83)	19.72% ( -0.3)	19.47% ( -0.53)

Both teams to score 62.27% (

0.16)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

66.57% (

0.62)

33.43% (

-0.63)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

44.78% (

0.71)

55.21% (

-0.71)

AC Milan Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

89.28% (

0.4)

10.72% (

-0.4)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

65.34% (

0.89)

34.66% (

-0.89)

Real Madrid Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

69.74% (

-0.13)

30.25% (

0.13)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

33.57% (

-0.16)

66.42% (

0.16)

Score Analysis

AC Milan 60.82%

Real Madrid 19.47%

Draw 19.72%

AC Milan	Draw	Real Madrid
2-1 @ 9.67% ( -0.03) 2-0 @ 8.09% ( 0.01) 1-0 @ 7.24% ( -0.12) 3-1 @ 7.2% ( 0.1) 3-0 @ 6.02% ( 0.1) 3-2 @ 4.3% ( 0.04) 4-1 @ 4.02% ( 0.12) 4-0 @ 3.36% ( 0.11) 4-2 @ 2.4% ( 0.06) 5-1 @ 1.79% ( 0.08) 5-0 @ 1.5% ( 0.07) 5-2 @ 1.07% ( 0.05) 4-3 @ 0.96% ( 0.02) Other @ 3.2% Total : 60.82%	1-1 @ 8.66% ( -0.17) 2-2 @ 5.78% ( -0.04) 0-0 @ 3.24% ( -0.11) 3-3 @ 1.71% ( 0.01) Other @ 0.32% Total : 19.72%	1-2 @ 5.18% ( -0.12) 0-1 @ 3.88% ( -0.14) 0-2 @ 2.32% ( -0.09) 2-3 @ 2.3% ( -0.02) 1-3 @ 2.06% ( -0.06) 0-3 @ 0.92% ( -0.04) Other @ 2.8% Total : 19.47%