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Tommaso Baldanzi
28'
-
Tammy Abraham
45'+2'
-
Angelino
54'
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Paulo Dybala
57'
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Sardar Azmoun
77'
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Theo Hernandez
37'
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Noah Okafor
55'
Roma vs AC Milan - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings
The match
Match Preview
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Data analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Roma win with a probability of 38.54%. A win for AC Milan had a probability of 35.78% and a draw had a probability of 25.7%.
The most likely scoreline for a Roma win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.13%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.47%) and 2-0 (6.36%). The likeliest AC Milan win was 0-1 (8.74%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.16%). The actual scoreline of 5-2 was predicted with a 0.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Roma would win this match.
Result
Roma
38.54%
▼
(-0.03)
Draw
25.67%
▼
(-0.01)
AC Milan
35.78%
▲
(+0.04)
Both Teams to Score:
55.31%
▲
(+0.05)
Goals
Over 2.5
51.22%
▲
(+0.06)
Under 2.5
48.78%
▼
(-0.05)
Over 3.5
29.12%
▲
(+0.05)
Under 3.5
70.88%
▼
(-0.05)
Over 4.5
14.07%
▲
(+0.04)
Under 4.5
85.93%
▼
(-0.03)
Roma Goals
Over 0.5
75.14%
▲
(+0.02)
Under 0.5
24.86%
▼
(-0.02)
Over 1.5
40.54%
▲
(+0.02)
Under 1.5
59.46%
▼
(-0.02)
AC Milan Goals
Over 0.5
73.6%
▲
(+0.05)
Under 0.5
26.4%
▼
(-0.04)
Over 1.5
38.45%
▲
(+0.06)
Under 1.5
61.55%
▼
(-0.06)
Score analysis
Roma
38.54%
Draw
25.67%
AC Milan
35.78%
Roma
1-0
@
9.13%
▼
(-0.02)
2-1 @ 8.47% ▼ (-0.01)
2-0 @ 6.36% ▼ (-0.01)
3-1 @ 3.93%
3-0 @ 2.95% ▼ (-0.01)
3-2 @ 2.62% ▲ (+0.01)
4-1 @ 1.37%
4-0 @ 1.03% ▼ (-0.01)
Other @ 2.69%
Total : 38.54%
2-1 @ 8.47% ▼ (-0.01)
2-0 @ 6.36% ▼ (-0.01)
3-1 @ 3.93%
3-0 @ 2.95% ▼ (-0.01)
3-2 @ 2.62% ▲ (+0.01)
4-1 @ 1.37%
4-0 @ 1.03% ▼ (-0.01)
Other @ 2.69%
Total : 38.54%
Draw
1-1
@
12.16%
▼
(-0.01)
0-0 @ 6.56% ▼ (-0.02)
2-2 @ 5.64% ▲ (+0.01)
3-3 @ 1.16% ▲ (+0.01)
Other @ 0.15%
Total : 25.67%
0-0 @ 6.56% ▼ (-0.02)
2-2 @ 5.64% ▲ (+0.01)
3-3 @ 1.16% ▲ (+0.01)
Other @ 0.15%
Total : 25.67%
AC Milan
0-1
@
8.74%
▼
(-0.01)
1-2 @ 8.1% ▲ (+0.01)
0-2 @ 5.82% ▲ (+0.01)
1-3 @ 3.6% ▲ (+0.01)
0-3 @ 2.58% ▲ (+0.01)
2-3 @ 2.5% ▲ (+0.01)
1-4 @ 1.2% ▲ (+0.01)
Other @ 3.24%
Total : 35.78%
1-2 @ 8.1% ▲ (+0.01)
0-2 @ 5.82% ▲ (+0.01)
1-3 @ 3.6% ▲ (+0.01)
0-3 @ 2.58% ▲ (+0.01)
2-3 @ 2.5% ▲ (+0.01)
1-4 @ 1.2% ▲ (+0.01)
Other @ 3.24%
Total : 35.78%
Davide Calabria
32'