Serie A

Serie A | Gameweek 38

May 26, 2024 at 7.45pm UK

Stadio Carlo Castellani

Empoli
2 - 1
Roma

Cancellieri (13'), Niang (90+3')
Gyasi (2'), Destro (34'), Marin (81'), Niang (90')

FT(HT: 1-1)

Aouar (45+1')
Costa (90')

The Match

Match Report

Empoli pull off a great escape from the Serie A relegation zone on the final day with a 2-1 win over Roma, keeping Davide Nicola's men in Serie A as Frosinone go down.

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Serie A clash between Empoli and Roma, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Empoli

All competitions

Last Game: Udinese 1-1 Empoli
Sunday, May 19 at 2pm in Serie A

Goals
for

Top scorers

Roma

All competitions

Serie A

Last Game: Roma 1-0 Genoa
Sunday, May 19 at 7.45pm in Serie A

Goals
for

Top scorers

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Roma win with a probability of 39.98%. A win for Empoli had a probability of 33.32% and a draw had a probability of 26.7%.

The most likely scoreline for a Roma win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.58%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.5%) and 0-2 (7.09%). The likeliest Empoli win was 1-0 (9.48%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.68%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 7.6% likelihood.

Result
Empoli	Draw	Roma
33.32% ( -0.31)	26.69% ( 0.08)	39.98% ( 0.24)

Both teams to score 51.52% (

-0.31)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

46.57% (

-0.37)

53.43% (

0.36)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

25.04% (

-0.31)

74.96% (

0.31)

Empoli Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

69.83% (

-0.39)

30.17% (

0.39)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

33.67% (

-0.46)

66.32% (

0.46)

Roma Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

73.79% (

-0.04)

26.21% (

0.04)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

38.69% (

-0.05)

61.3% (

0.05)

Score Analysis

Empoli 33.32%

Roma 39.98%

Draw 26.68%

Empoli	Draw	Roma
1-0 @ 9.48% ( 0.03) 2-1 @ 7.6% ( -0.06) 2-0 @ 5.68% ( -0.04) 3-1 @ 3.04% ( -0.06) 3-0 @ 2.27% ( -0.04) 3-2 @ 2.03% ( -0.04) 4-1 @ 0.91% ( -0.03) Other @ 2.32% Total : 33.32%	1-1 @ 12.68% ( 0.03) 0-0 @ 7.91% ( 0.11) 2-2 @ 5.09% ( -0.05) 3-3 @ 0.91% ( -0.02) Other @ 0.1% Total : 26.68%	0-1 @ 10.58% ( 0.14) 1-2 @ 8.5% ( 0.01) 0-2 @ 7.09% ( 0.09) 1-3 @ 3.79% ( 0) 0-3 @ 3.17% ( 0.04) 2-3 @ 2.27% ( -0.02) 1-4 @ 1.27% 0-4 @ 1.06% ( 0.01) Other @ 2.25% Total : 39.98%