La Liga
Gameweek
2
/https%3A%2F%2Fsportsmole-media-prod.s3.gra.io.cloud.ovh.net%2F19%2F06%2Fatllog.png)
/https%3A%2F%2Fsportsmole-media-prod.s3.gra.io.cloud.ovh.net%2F19%2F06%2Fgirlog.png)
-
Rodrigo De Paul
26'
-
Antoine Griezmann
39'
-
Marcos Llorente
48'
-
Koke
90'+4'
-
Abel Ruiz
28'
-
Paulo Gazzaniga
38'
-
Oriol Romeu
55'
Atletico Madrid vs Girona - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings
The match
Match Preview
/https%3A%2F%2Fsportsmole-media-prod.s3.gra.io.cloud.ovh.net%2F24%2F34%2Falexander-sorloth.jpg)
Form, Standings, Stats
Data analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Atletico Madrid win with a probability of 46.37%. A win for Girona had a probability of 29.05% and a draw had a probability of 24.6%.
The most likely scoreline for an Atletico Madrid win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.46%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.33%) and 2-0 (7.62%). The likeliest Girona win was 0-1 (7.19%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.57%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 4.1% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Atletico Madrid would win this match.
Result
Atletico Madrid
46.37%
▼
(-0.04)
Draw
24.58%
▲
(+0.02)
Girona
29.05%
▲
(+0.03)
Both Teams to Score:
56.5%
▼
(-0.03)
Goals
Over 2.5
53.88%
▼
(-0.05)
Under 2.5
46.12%
▲
(+0.05)
Over 3.5
31.58%
▼
(-0.05)
Under 3.5
68.42%
▲
(+0.05)
Over 4.5
15.78%
▼
(-0.03)
Under 4.5
84.22%
▲
(+0.04)
Atletico Madrid Goals
Over 0.5
80.02%
▼
(-0.04)
Under 0.5
19.98%
▲
(+0.04)
Over 1.5
47.85%
▼
(-0.06)
Under 1.5
52.15%
▲
(+0.06)
Girona Goals
Over 0.5
70.6%
▼
(-0.01)
Under 0.5
29.4%
▲
(+0.01)
Over 1.5
34.61%
▼
(-0.01)
Under 1.5
65.38%
▲
(+0.01)
Score analysis
Atletico Madrid
46.37%
Draw
24.57%
Girona
29.05%
Atletico Madrid
1-0
@
9.46%
▲
(+0.01)
2-1 @ 9.33% ▼ (-0.01)
2-0 @ 7.62% ▼ (-0.01)
3-1 @ 5.01% ▼ (-0.01)
3-0 @ 4.09% ▼ (-0.01)
3-2 @ 3.07% ▼ (-0.01)
4-1 @ 2.02% ▼ (-0.01)
4-0 @ 1.65% ▼ (-0.01)
4-2 @ 1.23% ▼ (-0.01)
Other @ 2.91%
Total : 46.37%
2-1 @ 9.33% ▼ (-0.01)
2-0 @ 7.62% ▼ (-0.01)
3-1 @ 5.01% ▼ (-0.01)
3-0 @ 4.09% ▼ (-0.01)
3-2 @ 3.07% ▼ (-0.01)
4-1 @ 2.02% ▼ (-0.01)
4-0 @ 1.65% ▼ (-0.01)
4-2 @ 1.23% ▼ (-0.01)
Other @ 2.91%
Total : 46.37%
Draw
1-1
@
11.57%
0-0 @ 5.87% ▲ (+0.02)
2-2 @ 5.71% ▼ (-0.01)
3-3 @ 1.25% ▼ (-0.01)
Other @ 0.17%
Total : 24.57%
0-0 @ 5.87% ▲ (+0.02)
2-2 @ 5.71% ▼ (-0.01)
3-3 @ 1.25% ▼ (-0.01)
Other @ 0.17%
Total : 24.57%
Girona
0-1
@
7.19%
▲
(+0.02)
1-2 @ 7.09% ▲ (+0.01)
0-2 @ 4.4% ▲ (+0.01)
1-3 @ 2.89% ▲ (+0.01)
2-3 @ 2.33% ▼ (-0.01)
0-3 @ 1.8% ▲ (+0.01)
Other @ 3.35%
Total : 29.05%
1-2 @ 7.09% ▲ (+0.01)
0-2 @ 4.4% ▲ (+0.01)
1-3 @ 2.89% ▲ (+0.01)
2-3 @ 2.33% ▼ (-0.01)
0-3 @ 1.8% ▲ (+0.01)
Other @ 3.35%
Total : 29.05%