Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Real Sociedad win with a probability of 41.53%. A win for Atletico Madrid had a probability of 32.04% and a draw had a probability of 26.4%.
The most likely scoreline for a Real Sociedad win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.63%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.7%) and 2-0 (7.36%). The likeliest Atletico Madrid win was 0-1 (9.08%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.57%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 5.4% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Real Sociedad | Draw | Atletico Madrid |
| 41.53% ( | 26.43% ( | 32.04% ( |
| Both teams to score 51.96% ( |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 47.3% ( | 52.7% ( |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 25.66% ( | 74.34% ( |
| Real Sociedad Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 74.94% ( | 25.06% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 40.26% ( | 59.74% ( |
| Atletico Madrid Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 69.34% ( | 30.66% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 33.09% ( | 66.91% ( |
| Score Analysis |
| Real Sociedad | Draw | Atletico Madrid |
| 1-0 @ 10.63% ( 2-1 @ 8.7% 2-0 @ 7.36% ( 3-1 @ 4.01% ( 3-0 @ 3.39% ( 3-2 @ 2.37% ( 4-1 @ 1.39% ( 4-0 @ 1.17% ( Other @ 2.5% Total : 41.52% | 1-1 @ 12.57% ( 0-0 @ 7.68% ( 2-2 @ 5.14% ( 3-3 @ 0.93% ( Other @ 0.1% Total : 26.43% | 0-1 @ 9.08% ( 1-2 @ 7.43% ( 0-2 @ 5.37% ( 1-3 @ 2.93% ( 0-3 @ 2.12% ( 2-3 @ 2.03% ( Other @ 3.09% Total : 32.04% |