Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Atletico Madrid win with a probability of 47%. A win for Getafe had a probability of 26.68% and a draw had a probability of 26.3%.
The most likely scoreline for an Atletico Madrid win was 0-1 with a probability of 12.1%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.1%) and 0-2 (8.83%). The likeliest Getafe win was 1-0 (8.55%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.47%). The actual scoreline of 0-3 was predicted with a 4.3% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Atletico Madrid would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Getafe | Draw | Atletico Madrid |
| 26.68% ( | 26.32% ( | 47% ( |
| Both teams to score 49.35% ( |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 45.33% ( | 54.66% ( |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 24% ( | 75.99% ( |
| Getafe Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 64.29% ( | 35.7% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 27.52% ( | 72.47% ( |
| Atletico Madrid Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 76.75% ( | 23.24% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 42.83% ( | 57.16% ( |
| Score Analysis |
| Getafe | Draw | Atletico Madrid |
| 1-0 @ 8.55% ( 2-1 @ 6.42% ( 2-0 @ 4.4% ( 3-1 @ 2.21% ( 3-2 @ 1.61% ( 3-0 @ 1.51% ( Other @ 1.98% Total : 26.68% | 1-1 @ 12.47% ( 0-0 @ 8.3% ( 2-2 @ 4.69% ( Other @ 0.86% Total : 26.31% | 0-1 @ 12.1% ( 1-2 @ 9.1% ( 0-2 @ 8.83% ( 1-3 @ 4.43% ( 0-3 @ 4.3% ( 2-3 @ 2.28% ( 1-4 @ 1.61% ( 0-4 @ 1.57% ( Other @ 2.78% Total : 46.99% |