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La Liga

Atletico Madrid logo
La Liga | Gameweek 37
May 19, 2024 at 6pm UK
Estadio Civitas Metropolitano
Osauna logo

Atletico
1 - 4
Osasuna

Morata (55')
Paulista (35'), De Paul (56')
FT(HT: 0-1)
Garcia (26', 64'), Oroz (52'), Torro (88')
Catena (59'), Munoz (90+3')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's La Liga clash between Atletico Madrid and Osasuna, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Atletico Madrid

All competitions
La Liga
Last Game: Getafe 0-3 Atletico
Wednesday, May 15 at 9pm in La Liga

Osasuna

All competitions
Last Game: Osasuna 1-1 Mallorca
Tuesday, May 14 at 6.30pm in La Liga

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Atletico Madrid win with a probability of 66.19%. A draw had a probability of 19.8% and a win for Osasuna had a probability of 14.01%.

The most likely scoreline for an Atletico Madrid win was 2-0 with a probability of 11.71%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (11.26%) and 2-1 (9.79%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.41%), while for a Osasuna win it was 0-1 (4.52%). The actual scoreline of 1-4 was predicted with a 0.2% likelihood.

Result
Atletico MadridDrawOsasuna
66.19% (-0.019000000000005 -0.02)19.8% (0.361 0.36)14.01% (-0.341 -0.34)
Both teams to score 49.57% (-2.131 -2.13)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
55.78% (-2.363 -2.36)44.22% (2.362 2.36)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
33.4% (-2.338 -2.34)66.6% (2.337 2.34)
Atletico Madrid Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
87.51% (-0.703 -0.7)12.49% (0.704 0.7)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
61.54% (-1.482 -1.48)38.46% (1.482 1.48)
Osasuna Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
56.64% (-1.964 -1.96)43.36% (1.966 1.97)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
20.4% (-1.686 -1.69)79.59% (1.686 1.69)
Score Analysis
    Atletico Madrid 66.18%
    Osasuna 14.01%
    Draw 19.8%
Atletico MadridDrawOsasuna
2-0 @ 11.71% (0.56 0.56)
1-0 @ 11.26% (0.83 0.83)
2-1 @ 9.79% (-0.045 -0.04)
3-0 @ 8.13% (0.176 0.18)
3-1 @ 6.79% (-0.222 -0.22)
4-0 @ 4.23% (-0.023000000000001 -0.02)
4-1 @ 3.53% (-0.217 -0.22)
3-2 @ 2.84% (-0.256 -0.26)
5-0 @ 1.76% (-0.059 -0.06)
4-2 @ 1.48% (-0.177 -0.18)
5-1 @ 1.47% (-0.134 -0.13)
Other @ 3.2%
Total : 66.18%
1-1 @ 9.41% (0.212 0.21)
0-0 @ 5.41% (0.537 0.54)
2-2 @ 4.09% (-0.247 -0.25)
Other @ 0.88%
Total : 19.8%
0-1 @ 4.52% (0.222 0.22)
1-2 @ 3.93% (-0.125 -0.13)
0-2 @ 1.89% (-0.0070000000000001 -0.01)
2-3 @ 1.14% (-0.136 -0.14)
1-3 @ 1.1% (-0.098 -0.1)
Other @ 1.43%
Total : 14.01%

How you voted: Atletico vs Osasuna

Atletico Madrid
88.5%
Draw
8.2%
Osasuna
3.3%
61
Head to Head
Sep 28, 2023 8.30pm
Gameweek 7
Osasuna
0-2
Atletico

Catena (54'), Oroz (76'), Fernandez (90')
Arrasate (78'), Avila (85')
Griezmann (20'), Riquelme (81')
Morata (84')
Morata (85')
> Preview
May 21, 2023 3.15pm
Gameweek 35
Atletico
3-0
Osasuna
Carrasco (44'), Niguez (62'), Correa (82')

Budimir (28'), Pena (65')
> Preview
Jan 29, 2023 3.15pm
Gameweek 19
Osasuna
0-1
Atletico
Niguez (74')
> Preview
Feb 19, 2022 3.15pm
Gameweek 25
Osasuna
0-3
Atletico

Avila (34')
Felix (3'), Suarez (59'), Correa (89')
Vrsaljko (54'), Serrano (90')
> Preview
Nov 20, 2021 5.30pm
Gameweek 14
Atletico
1-0
Osasuna
Felipe (87')
Griezmann (45'), Martin (89')

Torro (56'), Garcia (82')
> Preview