Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Real Sociedad win with a probability of 58.82%. A draw had a probability of 24.2% and a win for Valencia had a probability of 17.03%.
The most likely scoreline for a Real Sociedad win was 1-0 with a probability of 14.64%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (12.18%) and 2-1 (9.34%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.22%), while for a Valencia win it was 0-1 (6.75%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 14.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Real Sociedad in this match.
| Result | ||
| Real Sociedad | Draw | Valencia |
| 58.82% ( | 24.15% ( | 17.03% ( |
| Both teams to score 43.4% ( |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 43.82% ( | 56.18% ( |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 22.76% ( | 77.23% ( |
| Real Sociedad Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 81.06% ( | 18.94% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 49.54% ( | 50.45% ( |
| Valencia Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 53.54% ( | 46.46% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 17.92% ( | 82.08% ( |
| Score Analysis |
| Real Sociedad | Draw | Valencia |
| 1-0 @ 14.64% ( 2-0 @ 12.18% ( 2-1 @ 9.34% ( 3-0 @ 6.76% ( 3-1 @ 5.18% ( 4-0 @ 2.81% ( 4-1 @ 2.15% ( 3-2 @ 1.99% ( 5-0 @ 0.94% ( Other @ 2.84% Total : 58.81% | 1-1 @ 11.22% ( 0-0 @ 8.8% ( 2-2 @ 3.58% ( Other @ 0.55% Total : 24.15% | 0-1 @ 6.75% ( 1-2 @ 4.3% ( 0-2 @ 2.59% ( 1-3 @ 1.1% ( 2-3 @ 0.91% ( Other @ 1.38% Total : 17.03% |