Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Napoli win with a probability of 52.21%. A draw had a probability of 24% and a win for Girona had a probability of 23.76%.

The most likely scoreline for a Napoli win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.69%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.69%) and 2-0 (9.09%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.4%), while for a Girona win it was 0-1 (6.71%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 3.6% likelihood.

Result
Napoli	Draw	Girona
52.21% ( -0.94)	24.03% ( 0.21)	23.76% ( 0.72)

Both teams to score 53.58% (

0.18)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

52.23% (

-0.18)

47.77% (

0.18)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

30.04% (

-0.16)

69.96% (

0.16)

Napoli Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

81.73% (

-0.42)

18.27% (

0.42)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

50.67% (

-0.72)

49.33% (

0.72)

Girona Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

65.55% (

0.55)

34.44% (

-0.55)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

28.84% (

0.58)

71.16% (

-0.59)

Score Analysis

Napoli 52.2%

Girona 23.76%

Draw 24.02%

Napoli	Draw	Girona
1-0 @ 10.69% ( -0.07) 2-1 @ 9.69% ( -0.05) 2-0 @ 9.09% ( -0.18) 3-1 @ 5.49% ( -0.1) 3-0 @ 5.15% ( -0.18) 3-2 @ 2.93% ( -0.01) 4-1 @ 2.33% ( -0.08) 4-0 @ 2.19% ( -0.11) 4-2 @ 1.24% ( -0.02) Other @ 3.39% Total : 52.2%	1-1 @ 11.4% ( 0.1) 0-0 @ 6.29% ( 0.05) 2-2 @ 5.16% ( 0.05) 3-3 @ 1.04% ( 0.01) Other @ 0.13% Total : 24.02%	0-1 @ 6.71% ( 0.15) 1-2 @ 6.08% ( 0.14) 0-2 @ 3.57% ( 0.13) 1-3 @ 2.16% ( 0.08) 2-3 @ 1.84% ( 0.05) 0-3 @ 1.27% ( 0.07) Other @ 2.14% Total : 23.76%