Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Girona win with a probability of 51.6%. A win for Toulouse had a probability of 25.67% and a draw had a probability of 22.7%.
The most likely scoreline for a Girona win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.65%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.36%) and 2-0 (7.74%). The likeliest Toulouse win was 1-2 (6.49%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.41%). The actual scoreline of 0-4 was predicted with a 0.5% likelihood.