Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Girona win with a probability of 51.6%. A win for Toulouse had a probability of 25.67% and a draw had a probability of 22.7%.

The most likely scoreline for a Girona win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.65%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.36%) and 2-0 (7.74%). The likeliest Toulouse win was 1-2 (6.49%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.41%). The actual scoreline of 0-4 was predicted with a 0.5% likelihood.

Result
Girona	Draw	Toulouse
51.6% ( 0.04)	22.72% ( -0.02)	25.67% ( -0.02)

Both teams to score 60.05% (

0.05)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

59.84% (

0.08)

40.16% (

-0.08)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

37.47% (

0.08)

62.53% (

-0.08)

Girona Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

84.31% (

0.04)

15.69% (

-0.04)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

55.25% (

0.08)

44.74% (

-0.08)

Toulouse Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

71.22% (

0.03)

28.77% (

-0.03)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

35.38% (

0.04)

64.61% (

-0.04)

Score Analysis

Girona 51.6%

Toulouse 25.67%

Draw 22.72%

Girona	Draw	Toulouse
2-1 @ 9.65% 1-0 @ 8.36% ( -0.02) 2-0 @ 7.74% ( -0.01) 3-1 @ 5.96% ( 0.01) 3-0 @ 4.78% ( 0) 3-2 @ 3.71% ( 0.01) 4-1 @ 2.76% ( 0.01) 4-0 @ 2.21% ( 0) 4-2 @ 1.72% ( 0.01) 5-1 @ 1.02% ( 0.01) Other @ 3.69% Total : 51.6%	1-1 @ 10.41% ( -0.02) 2-2 @ 6.01% ( 0.01) 0-0 @ 4.51% ( -0.02) 3-3 @ 1.54% ( 0) Other @ 0.24% Total : 22.72%	1-2 @ 6.49% ( -0) 0-1 @ 5.62% ( -0.02) 0-2 @ 3.5% ( -0.01) 1-3 @ 2.69% 2-3 @ 2.5% ( 0) 0-3 @ 1.45% ( -0) Other @ 3.42% Total : 25.67%