La Liga

La Liga | Gameweek 1

Aug 19, 2024 at 8.30pm UK

Estadio de la Ceramica

Villarreal
2 - 2
Atletico

Danjuma (18'), Koke (37' og.)
Pino (10')

FT(HT: 2-2)

Llorente (20'), Sorloth (45+5')
Le Normand (40'), Barrios (43'), Lino (81'), Simeone (90+4')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Monday's La Liga clash between Villarreal and Atletico Madrid, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Villarreal

All competitions

La Liga

Last Game: Brighton 4-0 Villarreal
Saturday, August 10 at 3pm in Club Friendlies 3

Goals
for

Atletico Madrid

All competitions

La Liga

Last Game: Atletico 2-0 Juventus
Sunday, August 11 at 2pm in Club Friendlies 1

Goals
for

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Atletico Madrid win with a probability of 47%. A win for Villarreal had a probability of 29.15% and a draw had a probability of 23.8%.

The most likely scoreline for an Atletico Madrid win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.37%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (8.6%) and 0-2 (7.28%). The likeliest Villarreal win was 2-1 (7.12%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.06%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 6% likelihood.

Result
Villarreal	Draw	Atletico Madrid
29.15% ( -0.66)	23.84% ( -0.02)	47% ( 0.68)

Both teams to score 59.08% (

-0.39)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

57.25% (

-0.31)

42.75% (

0.31)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

34.85% (

-0.31)

65.15% (

0.31)

Villarreal Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

72.38% (

-0.61)

27.62% (

0.6)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

36.85% (

-0.78)

63.15% (

0.78)

Atletico Madrid Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

81.62% (

0.15)

18.38% (

-0.15)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

50.49% (

0.25)

49.51% (

-0.25)

Score Analysis

Villarreal 29.15%

Atletico Madrid 47%

Draw 23.84%

Villarreal	Draw	Atletico Madrid
2-1 @ 7.12% ( -0.11) 1-0 @ 6.53% ( -0.02) 2-0 @ 4.2% ( -0.09) 3-1 @ 3.05% ( -0.1) 3-2 @ 2.59% ( -0.07) 3-0 @ 1.8% ( -0.07) 4-1 @ 0.98% ( -0.05) Other @ 2.88% Total : 29.15%	1-1 @ 11.06% ( 0.02) 2-2 @ 6.03% ( -0.06) 0-0 @ 5.07% ( 0.07) 3-3 @ 1.46% ( -0.03) Other @ 0.22% Total : 23.84%	1-2 @ 9.37% ( 0.06) 0-1 @ 8.6% ( 0.16) 0-2 @ 7.28% ( 0.17) 1-3 @ 5.29% ( 0.06) 0-3 @ 4.11% ( 0.11) 2-3 @ 3.41% ( -0.02) 1-4 @ 2.24% ( 0.04) 0-4 @ 1.74% ( 0.06) 2-4 @ 1.44% ( -0) Other @ 3.52% Total : 47%