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La Liga | Gameweek 38
May 25, 2024 at 1pm UK
Estadio El Sadar
Villarreal logo

Osasuna
1 - 1
Villarreal

Budimir (30')
Munoz (34'), Pena (82'), Arnaiz (88'), Garcia (89')
FT(HT: 1-0)
Luis Morales (57')
Baena (10'), Traore (40'), Mosquera (88')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's La Liga clash between Osasuna and Villarreal, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Atletico 1-4 Osasuna
Sunday, May 19 at 6pm in La Liga

We said: Osasuna 1-3 Villarreal

Villarreal have won five of their last eight road trips in the top flight, and we think that they produce another strong away performance to claim maximum points and spoil Arrasate's Osasunsa farewell. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Osasuna win with a probability of 42.95%. A win for Villarreal had a probability of 31.9% and a draw had a probability of 25.1%.

The most likely scoreline for a Osasuna win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.35%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.99%) and 2-0 (7.08%). The likeliest Villarreal win was 0-1 (7.84%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.87%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with an 11.9% likelihood.

Result
OsasunaDrawVillarreal
42.95% (1.077 1.08) 25.14% (-0.411 -0.41) 31.9% (-0.665 -0.66)
Both teams to score 56.11% (1.126 1.13)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
52.7% (1.575 1.58)47.3% (-1.574 -1.57)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
30.47% (1.444 1.44)69.52% (-1.445 -1.45)
Osasuna Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
78% (1.197 1.2)21.99% (-1.196 -1.2)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
44.7% (1.778 1.78)55.3% (-1.778 -1.78)
Villarreal Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
71.94% (0.34400000000001 0.34)28.06% (-0.345 -0.34)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
36.28% (0.436 0.44)63.72% (-0.436 -0.44)
Score Analysis
    Osasuna 42.95%
    Villarreal 31.9%
    Draw 25.14%
OsasunaDrawVillarreal
1-0 @ 9.35% (-0.28 -0.28)
2-1 @ 8.99% (0.14 0.14)
2-0 @ 7.08% (0.042 0.04)
3-1 @ 4.54% (0.227 0.23)
3-0 @ 3.57% (0.146 0.15)
3-2 @ 2.89% (0.171 0.17)
4-1 @ 1.72% (0.143 0.14)
4-0 @ 1.35% (0.101 0.1)
4-2 @ 1.09% (0.1 0.1)
Other @ 2.37%
Total : 42.95%
1-1 @ 11.87% (-0.24 -0.24)
0-0 @ 6.17% (-0.415 -0.42)
2-2 @ 5.71% (0.142 0.14)
3-3 @ 1.22% (0.083 0.08)
Other @ 0.16%
Total : 25.14%
0-1 @ 7.84% (-0.448 -0.45)
1-2 @ 7.55% (-0.078 -0.08)
0-2 @ 4.98% (-0.234 -0.23)
1-3 @ 3.2% (-0.0019999999999998 -0)
2-3 @ 2.42% (0.084 0.08)
0-3 @ 2.11% (-0.078 -0.08)
1-4 @ 1.02% (0.01 0.01)
Other @ 2.79%
Total : 31.9%

How you voted: Osasuna vs Villarreal

Osasuna
14.3%
Draw
7.1%
Villarreal
78.6%
84
Head to Head
Nov 26, 2023 1pm
Gameweek 14
Villarreal
3-1
Osasuna
Luis Morales (57', 71', 80')
Catena (78')
Mar 19, 2023 3.15pm
Gameweek 26
Osasuna
0-3
Villarreal
Chukwueze (14'), Luis Morales (85', 90+3')
Oct 17, 2022 8pm
Gameweek 9
Villarreal
2-0
Osasuna
Danjuma (42', 52' pen.)
Mar 5, 2022 1pm
Gameweek 27
Osasuna
1-0
Villarreal
Avila (63')
Avila (74')
Oct 17, 2021 5.30pm
Gameweek 9
Villarreal
1-2
Osasuna
Moreno (55')
Capoue (33')
Torro (26'), Avila (87')
Herrera (30'), Garcia (54'), Garcia (60'), Torro (86'), Avila (88')
rhs 2.0
Euro 2024 fixtures header
Tuesday, June 25
 
5pm
 
8pm
 
8pm
Wednesday, June 26
 
5pm
 
5pm
 
8pm
Saturday, June 29
 
8pm
Sunday, June 30
Monday, July 1
Tuesday, July 2
Friday, July 5
Saturday, July 6
Tuesday, July 9
Wednesday, July 10
Sunday, July 14
Tables header RHS

Group A

TeamPWDLPTS
Q Germany Germany32107
Q Switzerland Switzerland31205
3 Hungary Hungary31023
4 Scotland flag Scotland30121

Group B

TeamPWDLPTS
Q Spain Spain33009
Q Italy Italy31114
3 Croatia Croatia30212
4 Albania national flag Albania30121

Group C

TeamPWDLPTS
1 England flag England21104
2 Denmark Denmark20202
3 Slovenia Slovenia20202
4 Serbia Serbia20111

Group D

TeamPWDLPTS
1 Netherlands Netherlands21104
2 France France21104
3 Austria Austria21013
4 Poland Poland20020

Group E

TeamPWDLPTS
1 Romania Romania21013
2 Belgium Belgium21013
3 Slovakia Slovakia21013
4 Ukraine Ukraine21013

Group F

TeamPWDLPTS
Q Portugal Portugal22006
2 Turkey Turkey21013
3 Czech Republic Czech Republic20111
4 Georgia Georgia20111


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