Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Osasuna win with a probability of 42.95%. A win for Villarreal had a probability of 31.9% and a draw had a probability of 25.1%.
The most likely scoreline for a Osasuna win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.35%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.99%) and 2-0 (7.08%). The likeliest Villarreal win was 0-1 (7.84%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.87%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with an 11.9% likelihood.