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Club Friendlies
Jul 27, 2024 at 5pm UK
Estadio Municipal de El Burgo de Osma

Atletico
1 - 1
Numancia

Riquelme (30')
Azpilicueta (35'), Correa (37'), Mourino (40'), Gimenez (86')
FT(HT: 1-1)
Ribeiro De Aguiar (34')
Atletico win 0-0 on penalties
Coverage of the Club Friendlies 1 Club Friendlies clash between Atletico Madrid and Numancia.

Form, Standings, Stats

Atletico Madrid

All competitions
Last Game: Real Sociedad 0-2 Atletico
Saturday, May 25 at 3.15pm in La Liga

Numancia

All competitions
Last Game: Numancia 0-2 Atletico
Thursday, August 24 at 6.30pm in Club Friendlies 1

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Atletico Madrid win with a probability of 73.44%. A draw had a probability of 16.4% and a win for Numancia had a probability of 10.19%.

The most likely scoreline for an Atletico Madrid win was 2-0 with a probability of 11.99%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (9.97%) and 3-0 (9.62%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (7.75%), while for a Numancia win it was 0-1 (3.22%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 7.8% likelihood.

Result
Atletico MadridDrawNumancia
73.44% (0.44799999999999 0.45)16.37% (-0.231 -0.23)10.19% (-0.222 -0.22)
Both teams to score 49.16% (-0.022000000000006 -0.02)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
61.66% (0.416 0.42)38.34% (-0.41699999999999 -0.42)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
39.37% (0.441 0.44)60.62% (-0.442 -0.44)
Atletico Madrid Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
90.98% (0.208 0.21)9.02% (-0.21 -0.21)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
69.28% (0.497 0.5)30.71% (-0.5 -0.5)
Numancia Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
54.03% (-0.15 -0.15)45.96% (0.148 0.15)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
18.3% (-0.117 -0.12)81.69% (0.117 0.12)
Score Analysis
    Atletico Madrid 73.43%
    Numancia 10.19%
    Draw 16.37%
Atletico MadridDrawNumancia
2-0 @ 11.99% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
1-0 @ 9.97% (-0.098000000000001 -0.1)
3-0 @ 9.62% (0.086 0.09)
2-1 @ 9.33% (-0.044 -0.04)
3-1 @ 7.48% (0.037 0.04)
4-0 @ 5.79% (0.107 0.11)
4-1 @ 4.5% (0.064 0.06)
3-2 @ 2.91% (0.0030000000000001 0)
5-0 @ 2.79% (0.078 0.08)
5-1 @ 2.17% (0.052 0.05)
4-2 @ 1.75% (0.018 0.02)
6-0 @ 1.12% (0.042 0.04)
Other @ 4.04%
Total : 73.43%
1-1 @ 7.75% (-0.111 -0.11)
0-0 @ 4.15% (-0.083 -0.08)
2-2 @ 3.62% (-0.033 -0.03)
Other @ 0.85%
Total : 16.37%
0-1 @ 3.22% (-0.078 -0.08)
1-2 @ 3.01% (-0.056 -0.06)
0-2 @ 1.25% (-0.036 -0.04)
2-3 @ 0.94% (-0.012 -0.01)
Other @ 1.76%
Total : 10.19%

Head to Head
Aug 24, 2023 6.30pm
Club Friendlies
Numancia
0-2
Atletico

Ela Mangue (25'), Gning (45')
Morata (64'), Riquelme (67')
Moreno (7')
Jul 27, 2022 6pm
Club Friendlies
Numancia
0-4
Atletico

Sidibeh (62')
Lemar (8'), Correa (32'), Kondogbia (45+1'), Cunha (52')
Jul 20, 2019 6pm
Pre-season Friendlies
Numancia
0-3
Atletico
Vitolo (69'), Saponjic (77'), Felipe (83')