Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Borussia Dortmund win with a probability of 50.76%. A win for Villarreal had a probability of 27.44% and a draw had a probability of 21.8%.

The most likely scoreline for a Borussia Dortmund win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.31%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (6.68%) and 2-0 (6.6%). The likeliest Villarreal win was 1-2 (6.64%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.42%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 4.8% likelihood.

Result
Borussia Dortmund	Draw	Villarreal
50.76% ( 0.04)	21.8% ( 0.05)	27.44% ( -0.1)

Both teams to score 65.14% (

-0.29)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

65.81% (

-0.34)

34.19% (

0.34)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

43.92% (

-0.39)

56.08% (

0.39)

Borussia Dortmund Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

86.16% (

-0.11)

13.84% (

0.11)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

58.8% (

-0.21)

41.2% (

0.21)

Villarreal Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

75.6% (

-0.24)

24.39% (

0.24)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

41.19% (

-0.34)

58.81% (

0.34)

Score Analysis

Borussia Dortmund 50.76%

Villarreal 27.44%

Draw 21.8%

Borussia Dortmund	Draw	Villarreal
2-1 @ 9.31% ( 0.03) 1-0 @ 6.68% ( 0.09) 2-0 @ 6.6% ( 0.07) 3-1 @ 6.14% ( -0.01) 3-0 @ 4.35% ( 0.03) 3-2 @ 4.33% ( -0.04) 4-1 @ 3.04% ( -0.02) 4-0 @ 2.15% ( 0) 4-2 @ 2.14% ( -0.03) 5-1 @ 1.2% ( -0.01) 4-3 @ 1.01% ( -0.02) Other @ 3.81% Total : 50.76%	1-1 @ 9.42% ( 0.06) 2-2 @ 6.57% ( -0.03) 0-0 @ 3.38% ( 0.06) 3-3 @ 2.04% ( -0.03) Other @ 0.4% Total : 21.8%	1-2 @ 6.64% ( -0) 0-1 @ 4.76% ( 0.05) 0-2 @ 3.36% ( 0.01) 1-3 @ 3.13% ( -0.02) 2-3 @ 3.09% ( -0.04) 0-3 @ 1.58% ( -0) 1-4 @ 1.1% ( -0.02) 2-4 @ 1.09% ( -0.02) Other @ 2.68% Total : 27.44%