Club Friendlies 1
/https%3A%2F%2Fsportsmole-media-prod.s3.gra.io.cloud.ovh.net%2F19%2F06%2Flogdor.png)
/https%3A%2F%2Fsportsmole-media-prod.s3.gra.io.cloud.ovh.net%2F19%2F06%2Fvillog.png)
-
Karim Adeyemi
6'
-
Jamie Bynoe-Gittens
72'
-
Almugera Raouf Mohammed Kabar
83'
-
Marcel Sabitzer
90'+17'
-
Ramon Terrats
20'
-
Denis Suarez
45'+9'
-
Gerard Moreno
90'+15'
Borussia Dortmund vs Villarreal - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings
The match
Match Preview
/https%3A%2F%2Fsportsmole-media-prod.s3.gra.io.cloud.ovh.net%2F24%2F32%2Fmarcelino-garcia-toral.jpg)
Data analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Borussia Dortmund win with a probability of 50.76%. A win for Villarreal had a probability of 27.44% and a draw had a probability of 21.8%.
The most likely scoreline for a Borussia Dortmund win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.31%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (6.68%) and 2-0 (6.6%). The likeliest Villarreal win was 1-2 (6.64%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.42%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 4.8% likelihood.
Result
Borussia Dortmund
50.76%
▲
(+0.04)
Draw
21.8%
▲
(+0.06)
Villarreal
27.44%
▼
(-0.10)
Both Teams to Score:
65.14%
▼
(-0.29)
Goals
Over 2.5
65.81%
▼
(-0.35)
Under 2.5
34.19%
▲
(+0.35)
Over 3.5
43.92%
▼
(-0.39)
Under 3.5
56.08%
▲
(+0.39)
Over 4.5
25.37%
▼
(-0.34)
Under 4.5
74.63%
▲
(+0.33)
Borussia Dortmund Goals
Over 0.5
86.16%
▼
(-0.11)
Under 0.5
13.84%
▲
(+0.11)
Over 1.5
58.8%
▼
(-0.22)
Under 1.5
41.2%
▲
(+0.22)
Villarreal Goals
Over 0.5
75.6%
▼
(-0.25)
Under 0.5
24.39%
▲
(+0.24)
Over 1.5
41.19%
▼
(-0.35)
Under 1.5
58.81%
▲
(+0.35)
Score analysis
Borussia Dortmund
50.76%
Draw
21.8%
Villarreal
27.44%
Borussia Dortmund
2-1
@
9.31%
▲
(+0.03)
1-0 @ 6.68% ▲ (+0.09)
2-0 @ 6.6% ▲ (+0.07)
3-1 @ 6.14% ▼ (-0.01)
3-0 @ 4.35% ▲ (+0.03)
3-2 @ 4.33% ▼ (-0.04)
4-1 @ 3.04% ▼ (-0.02)
4-0 @ 2.15% ▲ (+0.01)
4-2 @ 2.14% ▼ (-0.03)
5-1 @ 1.2% ▼ (-0.02)
4-3 @ 1.01% ▼ (-0.03)
Other @ 3.81%
Total : 50.76%
1-0 @ 6.68% ▲ (+0.09)
2-0 @ 6.6% ▲ (+0.07)
3-1 @ 6.14% ▼ (-0.01)
3-0 @ 4.35% ▲ (+0.03)
3-2 @ 4.33% ▼ (-0.04)
4-1 @ 3.04% ▼ (-0.02)
4-0 @ 2.15% ▲ (+0.01)
4-2 @ 2.14% ▼ (-0.03)
5-1 @ 1.2% ▼ (-0.02)
4-3 @ 1.01% ▼ (-0.03)
Other @ 3.81%
Total : 50.76%
Draw
1-1
@
9.42%
▲
(+0.07)
2-2 @ 6.57% ▼ (-0.03)
0-0 @ 3.38% ▲ (+0.06)
3-3 @ 2.04% ▼ (-0.04)
Other @ 0.4%
Total : 21.8%
2-2 @ 6.57% ▼ (-0.03)
0-0 @ 3.38% ▲ (+0.06)
3-3 @ 2.04% ▼ (-0.04)
Other @ 0.4%
Total : 21.8%
Villarreal
1-2
@
6.64%
▼
(-0.01)
0-1 @ 4.76% ▲ (+0.06)
0-2 @ 3.36% ▲ (+0.02)
1-3 @ 3.13% ▼ (-0.03)
2-3 @ 3.09% ▼ (-0.04)
0-3 @ 1.58% ▼ (-0.01)
1-4 @ 1.1% ▼ (-0.02)
2-4 @ 1.09% ▼ (-0.03)
Other @ 2.68%
Total : 27.44%
0-1 @ 4.76% ▲ (+0.06)
0-2 @ 3.36% ▲ (+0.02)
1-3 @ 3.13% ▼ (-0.03)
2-3 @ 3.09% ▼ (-0.04)
0-3 @ 1.58% ▼ (-0.01)
1-4 @ 1.1% ▼ (-0.02)
2-4 @ 1.09% ▼ (-0.03)
Other @ 2.68%
Total : 27.44%
Head to Head
Club Friendlies 1
-
Niklas Sule
74'
-
Gerard Moreno
45'+1'
-
Samuel Chukwueze
68'