Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Nottingham Forest win with a probability of 43.72%. A win for Villarreal had a probability of 31.88% and a draw had a probability of 24.4%.
The most likely scoreline for a Nottingham Forest win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.08%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.55%) and 2-0 (6.83%). The likeliest Villarreal win was 1-2 (7.57%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.37%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with a 5.4% likelihood.