Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Elche win with a probability of 49.24%. A win for Nottingham Forest had a probability of 25.44% and a draw had a probability of 25.3%.
The most likely scoreline for a Elche win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.5%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.4%) and 2-0 (8.98%). The likeliest Nottingham Forest win was 0-1 (7.71%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.04%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with an 11.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Elche in this match.