Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Elche win with a probability of 49.24%. A win for Nottingham Forest had a probability of 25.44% and a draw had a probability of 25.3%.

The most likely scoreline for a Elche win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.5%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.4%) and 2-0 (8.98%). The likeliest Nottingham Forest win was 0-1 (7.71%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.04%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with an 11.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Elche in this match.

Result
Elche	Draw	Nottingham Forest
49.24% ( 0.26)	25.32%	25.44% ( -0.26)

Both teams to score 51.28% (

-0.23)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

48.36% (

-0.19)

51.63% (

0.19)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

26.58% (

-0.16)

73.42% (

0.17)

Elche Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

79.01% (

0.04)

20.98% (

-0.04)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

46.24% (

0.05)

53.75% (

-0.05)

Nottingham Forest Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

64.9% (

-0.32)

35.1% (

0.32)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

28.15% (

-0.34)

71.84% (

0.34)

Score Analysis

Elche 49.24%

Nottingham Forest 25.44%

Draw 25.32%

Elche	Draw	Nottingham Forest
1-0 @ 11.5% ( 0.1) 2-1 @ 9.4% ( 0.01) 2-0 @ 8.98% ( 0.09) 3-1 @ 4.89% ( 0.01) 3-0 @ 4.67% ( 0.05) 3-2 @ 2.56% ( -0.02) 4-1 @ 1.91% ( 0.01) 4-0 @ 1.82% ( 0.02) 4-2 @ 1% ( -0) Other @ 2.5% Total : 49.24%	1-1 @ 12.04% 0-0 @ 7.37% ( 0.06) 2-2 @ 4.92% ( -0.04) Other @ 0.99% Total : 25.32%	0-1 @ 7.71% ( -0.01) 1-2 @ 6.3% ( -0.05) 0-2 @ 4.04% ( -0.04) 1-3 @ 2.2% ( -0.04) 2-3 @ 1.72% ( -0.03) 0-3 @ 1.41% ( -0.03) Other @ 2.06% Total : 25.44%