Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Leicester City win with a probability of 44.37%. A win for Villarreal had a probability of 32.26% and a draw had a probability of 23.4%.

The most likely scoreline for a Leicester City win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.05%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (7.33%) and 0-2 (6.3%). The likeliest Villarreal win was 2-1 (7.56%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.52%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-2 win for Leicester City in this match.

Result
Villarreal	Draw	Leicester City
32.26% ( -0.07)	23.37% ( -0.03)	44.37% ( 0.1)

Both teams to score 62.55% (

0.09)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

61.06% (

0.13)

38.94% (

-0.12)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

38.74% (

0.13)

61.26% (

-0.13)

Villarreal Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

76.22% (

0.02)

23.78% (

-0.02)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

42.06% (

0.03)

57.94% (

-0.03)

Leicester City Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

82.07% (

0.09)

17.93% (

-0.09)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

51.26% (

0.16)

48.74% (

-0.15)

Score Analysis

Villarreal 32.26%

Leicester City 44.37%

Draw 23.37%

Villarreal	Draw	Leicester City
2-1 @ 7.56% ( -0.01) 1-0 @ 6.12% ( -0.03) 2-0 @ 4.4% ( -0.02) 3-1 @ 3.62% ( -0) 3-2 @ 3.11% ( 0) 3-0 @ 2.11% ( -0.01) 4-1 @ 1.3% ( -0) 4-2 @ 1.12% ( 0) Other @ 2.93% Total : 32.26%	1-1 @ 10.52% ( -0.03) 2-2 @ 6.5% ( 0.01) 0-0 @ 4.26% ( -0.02) 3-3 @ 1.78% ( 0.01) Other @ 0.3% Total : 23.37%	1-2 @ 9.05% ( 0.01) 0-1 @ 7.33% ( -0.02) 0-2 @ 6.3% ( 0) 1-3 @ 5.18% ( 0.02) 2-3 @ 3.72% ( 0.02) 0-3 @ 3.61% ( 0.01) 1-4 @ 2.23% ( 0.01) 2-4 @ 1.6% ( 0.01) 0-4 @ 1.55% ( 0.01) Other @ 3.81% Total : 44.37%