Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Borussia Dortmund win with a probability of 43.14%. A win for BG Pathum United had a probability of 35.39% and a draw had a probability of 21.5%.
The most likely scoreline for a Borussia Dortmund win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.19%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-3 (5.34%) and 0-1 (4.76%). The likeliest BG Pathum United win was 2-1 (7.38%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (8.38%). The actual scoreline of 4-0 was predicted with a 1% likelihood.