Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Borussia Dortmund win with a probability of 43.14%. A win for BG Pathum United had a probability of 35.39% and a draw had a probability of 21.5%.

The most likely scoreline for a Borussia Dortmund win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.19%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-3 (5.34%) and 0-1 (4.76%). The likeliest BG Pathum United win was 2-1 (7.38%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (8.38%). The actual scoreline of 4-0 was predicted with a 1% likelihood.

Result
BG Pathum United	Draw	Borussia Dortmund
35.39% ( -0.22)	21.47% ( -0.04)	43.14% ( 0.27)

Both teams to score 71.06% (

0.11)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

71.69% (

0.16)

28.31% (

-0.16)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

50.87% (

0.2)

49.13% (

-0.2)

BG Pathum United Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

82.79% (

-0.03)

17.21% (

0.03)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

52.51% (

-0.05)

47.49% (

0.05)

Borussia Dortmund Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

85.83% (

0.16)

14.17% (

-0.15)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

58.14% (

0.31)

41.86% (

-0.31)

Score Analysis

BG Pathum United 35.39%

Borussia Dortmund 43.14%

Draw 21.47%

BG Pathum United	Draw	Borussia Dortmund
2-1 @ 7.38% ( -0.04) 3-1 @ 4.33% ( -0.03) 1-0 @ 4.29% ( -0.04) 3-2 @ 4.23% ( -0) 2-0 @ 3.78% ( -0.04) 3-0 @ 2.22% ( -0.03) 4-1 @ 1.9% ( -0.01) 4-2 @ 1.86% ( -0) 4-3 @ 1.21% ( 0) 4-0 @ 0.97% ( -0.01) Other @ 3.23% Total : 35.39%	1-1 @ 8.38% ( -0.04) 2-2 @ 7.21% 3-3 @ 2.75% ( 0.01) 0-0 @ 2.44% ( -0.02) Other @ 0.68% Total : 21.47%	1-2 @ 8.19% ( 0.01) 1-3 @ 5.34% ( 0.04) 0-1 @ 4.76% ( -0.02) 2-3 @ 4.7% ( 0.03) 0-2 @ 4.66% ( 0.01) 0-3 @ 3.03% ( 0.02) 1-4 @ 2.61% ( 0.03) 2-4 @ 2.29% ( 0.03) 0-4 @ 1.48% ( 0.02) 3-4 @ 1.35% ( 0.01) 1-5 @ 1.02% ( 0.02) Other @ 3.72% Total : 43.14%