AFC Champions League | Group Stage
Dec 12, 2023 at 10am UK
Tan Sri Dato' Hj Hassan Yunos Stadium

Johor Darul
4 - 1
Pathum Utd

Bergson (55' pen., 66'), Endrick (86'), Aiman (90+2')
Heberty (26'), Davies (89')
FT(HT: 0-1)
Sergeev (28')
Stewart (22'), Alves (38'), Sergeev (67')
Alves (53')
Coverage of the AFC Champions League Group Stage clash between Johor Darul Ta'zim and BG Pathum United.

Form, Standings, Stats

Johor Darul Ta'zim

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Last Game: Kawasaki 5-0 Johor Darul
Tuesday, November 28 at 10am in AFC Champions League
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BG Pathum United

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Last Game: Pathum Utd 1-3 Ulsan
Tuesday, November 28 at 10am in AFC Champions League
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Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Johor Darul Ta'zim win with a probability of 69.06%. A draw had a probability of 17.4% and a win for BG Pathum United had a probability of 13.54%.

The most likely scoreline for a Johor Darul Ta'zim win was 2-0 with a probability of 9.75%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.58%) and 1-0 (8.06%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (7.92%), while for a BG Pathum United win it was 1-2 (3.89%). The actual scoreline of 4-1 was predicted with a 4.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Johor Darul Ta'zim would win this match.

Result
Johor Darul Ta'zimDrawBG Pathum United
69.06% (-0.212 -0.21)17.4% (0.042999999999999 0.04)13.54% (0.164 0.16)
Both teams to score 56.97% (0.339 0.34)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
66.04% (0.19800000000001 0.2)33.95% (-0.203 -0.2)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
44.19% (0.227 0.23)55.81% (-0.23 -0.23)
Johor Darul Ta'zim Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
91.09% (0.00099999999999056 0)8.9% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
69.57% (0.010999999999996 0.01)30.43% (-0.015000000000001 -0.02)
BG Pathum United Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
62.54% (0.368 0.37)37.46% (-0.373 -0.37)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
25.76% (0.359 0.36)74.24% (-0.36399999999999 -0.36)
Score Analysis
    Johor Darul Ta'zim 69.06%
    BG Pathum United 13.54%
    Draw 17.4%
Johor Darul Ta'zimDrawBG Pathum United
2-0 @ 9.75% (-0.098000000000001 -0.1)
2-1 @ 9.58% (0.00099999999999945 0)
1-0 @ 8.06% (-0.083 -0.08)
3-0 @ 7.87% (-0.077 -0.08)
3-1 @ 7.72% (0.0030000000000001 0)
4-0 @ 4.76% (-0.045 -0.04)
4-1 @ 4.67% (0.0030000000000001 0)
3-2 @ 3.79% (0.039 0.04)
5-0 @ 2.3% (-0.021 -0.02)
4-2 @ 2.29% (0.025 0.02)
5-1 @ 2.26% (0.0019999999999998 0)
5-2 @ 1.11% (0.012 0.01)
6-0 @ 0.93% (-0.009 -0.01)
6-1 @ 0.91% (0.001 0)
Other @ 3.04%
Total : 69.06%
1-1 @ 7.92% (-0.0010000000000003 -0)
2-2 @ 4.7% (0.048 0.05)
0-0 @ 3.33% (-0.035 -0.03)
3-3 @ 1.24% (0.025 0.03)
Other @ 0.2%
Total : 17.4%
1-2 @ 3.89% (0.039 0.04)
0-1 @ 3.27% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
0-2 @ 1.61% (0.015 0.01)
2-3 @ 1.54% (0.031 0.03)
1-3 @ 1.27% (0.026 0.03)
Other @ 1.96%
Total : 13.54%

How you voted: Johor Darul vs Pathum Utd

Johor Darul Ta'zim
100%
Draw
0.0%
BG Pathum United
0.0%
5
Head to Head
Oct 3, 2023 1pm
Group Stage
Pathum Utd
2-4
Johor Darul
Cardozo (5' pen., 55')
Cardozo (57'), Yooyen (73'), Sergeev (88'), Alvarez (90+4')
Aiman (6', 78'), Bergson (14'), Muniz (53')
Muniz (63'), Wan (85')
rhs 2.0


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