Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Johor Darul Ta'zim win with a probability of 69.06%. A draw had a probability of 17.4% and a win for BG Pathum United had a probability of 13.54%.
The most likely scoreline for a Johor Darul Ta'zim win was 2-0 with a probability of 9.75%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.58%) and 1-0 (8.06%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (7.92%), while for a BG Pathum United win it was 1-2 (3.89%). The actual scoreline of 4-1 was predicted with a 4.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Johor Darul Ta'zim would win this match.