AFC Champions League
Dec 12, 2023 10.00am
4
1
HT : 0 1
FT Tan Sri Dato' Hj Hassan Yunos Stadium
  • Heberty 26' yellowcard
  • Bergson 55' goal
  • Bergson 66' goal
  • Endrick 86' goal
  • Matthew Davies 89' yellowcard
  • Arif Aiman 90'+2' goal
  • yellowcard Ryhan Stewart 22'
  • goal Igor Sergeev 28'
  • yellowcard Danilo Alves 38'
  • redcard Danilo Alves 53'
  • yellowcard Igor Sergeev 67'

Johor Darul Ta'zim vs BG Pathum United - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Form, Standings, Stats

Johor Darul Ta'zim

All competitions
AFC Champions League
Last game
Nov 28, 2023 10.00am
Kawasaki 5 - 0 Johor Darul

BG Pathum United

All competitions
AFC Champions League
Last game
Nov 28, 2023 10.00am
Pathum Utd 1 - 3 Ulsan

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Johor Darul Ta'zim win with a probability of 69.06%. A draw had a probability of 17.4% and a win for BG Pathum United had a probability of 13.54%.

The most likely scoreline for a Johor Darul Ta'zim win was 2-0 with a probability of 9.75%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.58%) and 1-0 (8.06%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (7.92%), while for a BG Pathum United win it was 1-2 (3.89%). The actual scoreline of 4-1 was predicted with a 4.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Johor Darul Ta'zim would win this match.

Result

Johor Darul Ta'zim 69.06% (-0.22)
Draw 17.4% (+0.05)
BG Pathum United 13.54% (+0.17)

Both Teams to Score: 

56.97% (+0.34)

Goals

Over 2.5 66.04% (+0.20)
Under 2.5 33.95% (-0.21)
Over 3.5 44.19% (+0.23)
Under 3.5 55.81% (-0.23)
Over 4.5 25.6% (+0.19)
Under 4.5 74.4% (-0.20)

Johor Darul Ta'zim Goals

Over 0.5 91.09% (+0.01)
Under 0.5 8.9% (-0.01)
Over 1.5 69.57% (+0.02)
Under 1.5 30.43% (-0.02)

BG Pathum United Goals

Over 0.5 62.54% (+0.37)
Under 0.5 37.46% (-0.38)
Over 1.5 25.76% (+0.36)
Under 1.5 74.24% (-0.37)

Score analysis

Johor Darul Ta'zim 69.06%
Draw 17.4%
BG Pathum United 13.54%
Johor Darul Ta'zim
2-0 @ 9.75% (-0.10)
2-1 @ 9.58% (+0.01)
1-0 @ 8.06% (-0.09)
3-0 @ 7.87% (-0.08)
3-1 @ 7.72% (+0.01)
4-0 @ 4.76% (-0.05)
4-1 @ 4.67% (+0.01)
3-2 @ 3.79% (+0.04)
5-0 @ 2.3% (-0.03)
4-2 @ 2.29% (+0.03)
5-1 @ 2.26% (+0.01)
5-2 @ 1.11% (+0.02)
Other @ 4.88%
Total : 69.06%
Draw
1-1 @ 7.92% (-0.01)
2-2 @ 4.7% (+0.05)
0-0 @ 3.33% (-0.04)
3-3 @ 1.24% (+0.03)
Other @ 0.2%
Total : 17.4%
BG Pathum United
1-2 @ 3.89% (+0.04)
0-1 @ 3.27% (-0.01)
0-2 @ 1.61% (+0.02)
2-3 @ 1.54% (+0.04)
1-3 @ 1.27% (+0.03)
Other @ 1.96%
Total : 13.54%

Head to Head

AFC Champions League
Oct 3, 2023 1.00pm
2
4
HT : 1 2
FT BG Stadium
  • Victor Cardozo 5' goal
  • Victor Cardozo 55' goal
  • Victor Cardozo 57' yellowcard
  • Sarach Yooyen 73' yellowcard
  • Igor Sergeev 88' yellowcard
  • Freddy Alvarez 90'+4' yellowcard
  • goal Arif Aiman 6'
  • goal Bergson 14'
  • goal Juan Muniz 53'
  • yellowcard Juan Muniz 63'
  • goal Arif Aiman 78'
  • yellowcard Hong Wan 85'