Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Kawasaki Frontale win with a probability of 40%. A win for BG Pathum United had a probability of 35.22% and a draw had a probability of 24.8%.
The most likely scoreline for a Kawasaki Frontale win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.68%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (8.33%) and 0-2 (6.24%). The likeliest BG Pathum United win was 2-1 (8.06%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.58%). The actual scoreline of 2-4 was predicted with a 1.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Kawasaki Frontale would win this match.