AFC Champions League
Oct 24, 2023 1.00pm
2
4
HT : 1 1
FT BG Stadium
  • Waris Choolthong 34' yellowcard
  • Igor Sergeev 45'+1' goal
  • Victor Cardozo 82' goal
  • goal Daiya Tono 14'
  • goal Kento Tachibanada 52'
  • goal Marcinho 68'
  • goal Takuma Ominami 77'
  • yellowcard Sung-Ryong Jung 79'
  • yellowcard Jesiel 89'
  • yellowcard Kota Takai 90'+2'
  • yellowcard Yasuto Wakizaka 90'+4'

BG Pathum United vs Kawasaki Frontale - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Form, Standings, Stats

BG Pathum United

All competitions
AFC Champions League
Last game
Oct 3, 2023 1.00pm
Pathum Utd 2 - 4 Johor Darul

Kawasaki Frontale

All competitions
AFC Champions League
Last game
Oct 3, 2023 11.00am
Kawasaki 1 - 0 Ulsan

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Kawasaki Frontale win with a probability of 40%. A win for BG Pathum United had a probability of 35.22% and a draw had a probability of 24.8%.

The most likely scoreline for a Kawasaki Frontale win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.68%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (8.33%) and 0-2 (6.24%). The likeliest BG Pathum United win was 2-1 (8.06%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.58%). The actual scoreline of 2-4 was predicted with a 1.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Kawasaki Frontale would win this match.

Result

BG Pathum United 35.22% (-0.06)
Draw 24.78% (+0.01)
Kawasaki Frontale 40% (+0.05)

Both Teams to Score: 

58.35% (-0.04)

Goals

Over 2.5 55.18% (-0.04)
Under 2.5 44.82% (+0.04)
Over 3.5 32.82% (-0.04)
Under 3.5 67.17% (+0.04)
Over 4.5 16.67% (-0.03)
Under 4.5 83.33% (+0.03)

BG Pathum United Goals

Over 0.5 75.13% (-0.05)
Under 0.5 24.86% (+0.05)
Over 1.5 40.53% (-0.07)
Under 1.5 59.47% (+0.07)

Kawasaki Frontale Goals

Over 0.5 77.66% (+0.01)
Under 0.5 22.34% (-0.01)
Over 1.5 44.17% (+0.01)
Under 1.5 55.83% (-0.01)

Score analysis

BG Pathum United 35.22%
Draw 24.78%
Kawasaki Frontale 40%
BG Pathum United
2-1 @ 8.06% (-0.01)
1-0 @ 7.73% (+0.01)
2-0 @ 5.38% (-0.01)
3-1 @ 3.74% (-0.01)
3-2 @ 2.8% (-0.01)
3-0 @ 2.5% (-0.01)
4-1 @ 1.3% (-0.01)
Other @ 3.7%
Total : 35.22%
Draw
1-1 @ 11.58%
2-2 @ 6.04% (-0.01)
0-0 @ 5.56% (+0.01)
3-3 @ 1.4% (-0.01)
Other @ 0.2%
Total : 24.78%
Kawasaki Frontale
1-2 @ 8.68% (+0.01)
0-1 @ 8.33% (+0.02)
0-2 @ 6.24% (+0.02)
1-3 @ 4.34% (+0.01)
0-3 @ 3.12% (+0.01)
2-3 @ 3.02% (-0.01)
1-4 @ 1.63% (+0.01)
0-4 @ 1.17% (+0.01)
2-4 @ 1.13%
Other @ 2.36%
Total : 40%