Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Urawa Red Diamonds win with a probability of 49.21%. A draw had a probability of 25.8% and a win for BG Pathum United had a probability of 25.04%.
The most likely scoreline for a Urawa Red Diamonds win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.13%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.3%) and 2-0 (9.24%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.21%), while for a BG Pathum United win it was 0-1 (8.02%). The actual scoreline of 4-0 was predicted with a 1.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Urawa Red Diamonds would win this match.