Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Kawasaki Frontale win with a probability of 55.77%. A draw had a probability of 23.2% and a win for Albirex Niigata had a probability of 21.05%.
The most likely scoreline for a Kawasaki Frontale win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.96%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.84%) and 2-0 (9.8%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11%), while for an Albirex Niigata win it was 0-1 (6.16%). The actual scoreline of 2-3 was predicted with a 1.7% likelihood.