J1 League Gameweek 27
Sep 17, 2023 11.00am
1
1
HT : 0 0
FT Nishigaoka National Stadium
  • Ryotaro Meshino 63' goal
  • goal Shunsuke Mito 83'

Gamba Osaka vs Albirex Niigata - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Form, Standings, Stats

Gamba Osaka

All competitions
Last game
Sep 2, 2023 5.00am
Consadole 4 - 0 Gamba Osaka
Goals scored
38
Top scorer
Juan Alano

Albirex Niigata

All competitions
Last game
Sep 2, 2023 10.00am
Albirex Niigata 1 - 1 Urawa
Goals scored
36
Top scorer
Ryotaro Ito

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Gamba Osaka win with a probability of 43.9%. A win for Albirex Niigata had a probability of 30.08% and a draw had a probability of 26%.

The most likely scoreline for a Gamba Osaka win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.71%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.98%) and 2-0 (7.77%). The likeliest Albirex Niigata win was 0-1 (8.52%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.37%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 12.4% likelihood.

Result

Gamba Osaka 43.9% (-0.04)
Draw 26.01% (-0.19)
Albirex Niigata 30.08% (+0.22)

Both Teams to Score: 

52.45% (+0.70)

Goals

Over 2.5 48.32% (+0.86)
Under 2.5 51.68% (-0.86)
Over 3.5 26.54% (+0.74)
Under 3.5 73.46% (-0.74)
Over 4.5 12.35% (+0.48)
Under 4.5 87.65% (-0.49)

Gamba Osaka Goals

Over 0.5 76.57% (+0.36)
Under 0.5 23.42% (-0.36)
Over 1.5 42.58% (+0.52)
Under 1.5 57.42% (-0.52)

Albirex Niigata Goals

Over 0.5 68.49% (+0.60)
Under 0.5 31.5% (-0.60)
Over 1.5 32.1% (+0.69)
Under 1.5 67.89% (-0.69)

Score analysis

Gamba Osaka 43.9%
Draw 26.01%
Albirex Niigata 30.08%
Gamba Osaka
1-0 @ 10.71% (-0.25)
2-1 @ 8.98% (+0.04)
2-0 @ 7.77% (-0.11)
3-1 @ 4.34% (+0.07)
3-0 @ 3.76% (-0.02)
3-2 @ 2.51% (+0.08)
4-1 @ 1.58% (+0.04)
4-0 @ 1.36% (+0.02)
Other @ 2.89%
Total : 43.9%
Draw
1-1 @ 12.37% (-0.09)
0-0 @ 7.38% (-0.26)
2-2 @ 5.19% (+0.11)
Other @ 1.07%
Total : 26.01%
Albirex Niigata
0-1 @ 8.52% (-0.16)
1-2 @ 7.15% (+0.07)
0-2 @ 4.92% (-0.01)
1-3 @ 2.75% (+0.07)
2-3 @ 2% (+0.08)
0-3 @ 1.9% (+0.03)
Other @ 2.85%
Total : 30.08%

Head to Head

J1 League Gameweek 15
May 28, 2023 6.00am
1
3
HT : 0 2
FT Denka Big Swan Stadium
  • Michael Fitzgerald 48' goal
  • goal Shu Kurata 2'
  • goal Juan Alano 43'
  • goal Keisuke Kurokawa 56'