J1 League Gameweek 21
Jul 16, 2023 11.00am
3
1
HT : 1 1
FT Nishigaoka National Stadium
  • Dawhan 10' goal
  • Ryotaro Meshino 46' goal
  • Juan Alano 67' goal
  • goal Mao Hosoya 21'

Gamba Osaka vs Kashiwa Reysol - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

The match

Match Preview

Form, Standings, Stats

Gamba Osaka

All competitions
Last game
Jul 8, 2023 11.00am
Gamba Osaka 1 - 0 Kyoto Sanga
Goals scored
38
Top scorer
Juan Alano

Kashiwa Reysol

All competitions
Last game
Jul 8, 2023 11.00am
Reysol 1 - 1 Shonan Bellmare
Goals scored
33
Top scorer
Mao Hosoya

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Gamba Osaka win with a probability of 52.48%. A draw had a probability of 26.1% and a win for Kashiwa Reysol had a probability of 21.4%.

The most likely scoreline for a Gamba Osaka win was 1-0 with a probability of 14.2%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.68%) and 2-1 (9.14%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.15%), while for a Kashiwa Reysol win it was 0-1 (8.08%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 4.6% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Gamba Osaka would win this match.

Result

Gamba Osaka 52.48% (-0.07)
Draw 26.12% (+0.03)
Kashiwa Reysol 21.4% (+0.05)

Both Teams to Score: 

44.72%

Goals

Over 2.5 41.97% (-0.03)
Under 2.5 58.03% (+0.04)
Over 3.5 21.29% (-0.03)
Under 3.5 78.71% (+0.03)
Over 4.5 9.09% (-0.02)
Under 4.5 90.91% (+0.02)

Gamba Osaka Goals

Over 0.5 77.77% (-0.04)
Under 0.5 22.23% (+0.05)
Over 1.5 44.35% (-0.06)
Under 1.5 55.65% (+0.07)

Kashiwa Reysol Goals

Over 0.5 57.5% (+0.03)
Under 0.5 42.49% (-0.03)
Over 1.5 21.14% (+0.03)
Under 1.5 78.86% (-0.03)

Score analysis

Gamba Osaka 52.47%
Draw 26.11%
Kashiwa Reysol 21.4%
Gamba Osaka
1-0 @ 14.2%
2-0 @ 10.68% (-0.01)
2-1 @ 9.14% (-0.01)
3-0 @ 5.35% (-0.02)
3-1 @ 4.58% (-0.01)
4-0 @ 2.01% (-0.01)
3-2 @ 1.96% (-0.01)
4-1 @ 1.72% (-0.01)
Other @ 2.82%
Total : 52.47%
Draw
1-1 @ 12.15% (+0.01)
0-0 @ 9.45% (+0.02)
2-2 @ 3.91% (+0.01)
Other @ 0.61%
Total : 26.11%
Kashiwa Reysol
0-1 @ 8.08% (+0.02)
1-2 @ 5.2% (+0.01)
0-2 @ 3.46% (+0.02)
1-3 @ 1.48% (+0.01)
2-3 @ 1.12% (+0.01)
Other @ 2.06%
Total : 21.4%

Head to Head

J1 League Gameweek 1
Feb 18, 2023 6.00am
2
2
HT : 1 0
FT SANKYO FRONTIER Kashiwa Stadium
  • Eiichi Katayama 42' goal
  • Mao Hosoya 90'+8' goal
  • goal Takashi Usami 49'
  • goal Dawhan 54'
J1 League Gameweek 31
Oct 1, 2022 8.00am
0
0
HT : 0 0
FT
J1 League Gameweek 13
May 14, 2022 11.00am
0
1
HT : 0 0
FT
  • yellowcard Jiro Nakamura 51'
  • goal Dawhan 71'
J1 League Gameweek 30
Sep 26, 2021 11.00am
2
1
HT : 2 0
FT
  • Takashi Usami 3' goal
  • Shunya Suganuma 26' goal
  • goal Yuta Kamiya 86'
J1 League Gameweek 9
Apr 11, 2021 9.00am
1
0
HT : 0 0
FT
  • Hidekazu Otani 76' goal
J1 League Gameweek 16
Oct 24, 2020 8.00am
2
1
HT : 0 0
FT
  • Yuya Fukuda 30' yellowcard
  • Seung-Gyu Kim 52' goal
  • Ademilson 89' goal
  • goal Michael Olunga 80'