J1 League Gameweek 17
Jun 11, 2023 10.00am
3
1
HT : 2 0
FT Nishigaoka National Stadium
  • Issam Jebali 25' goal
  • Issam Jebali 29' goal
  • Riku Handa 60' goal
  • goal Koki Tsukagawa 90'+2'

Gamba Osaka vs FC Tokyo - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

The match

Match Preview

Form, Standings, Stats

Gamba Osaka

All competitions
Last game
Jun 3, 2023 10.00am
Avispa Fukuoka 1 - 2 Gamba Osaka
Goals scored
38
Top scorer
Juan Alano

FC Tokyo

All competitions
Last game
Jun 3, 2023 7.00am
FC Tokyo 2 - 3 Yokohama
Goals scored
42
Top scorer
Diego Oliveira

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Gamba Osaka win with a probability of 43.81%. A win for FC Tokyo had a probability of 28.63% and a draw had a probability of 27.6%.

The most likely scoreline for a Gamba Osaka win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.67%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.61%) and 2-0 (8.44%). The likeliest FC Tokyo win was 0-1 (9.71%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.93%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 3.8% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Gamba Osaka would win this match.

Result

Gamba Osaka 43.81% (-0.50)
Draw 27.56% (+0.12)
FC Tokyo 28.63% (+0.38)

Both Teams to Score: 

47.07% (-0.12)

Goals

Over 2.5 41.78% (-0.26)
Under 2.5 58.21% (+0.26)
Over 3.5 21.14% (-0.21)
Under 3.5 78.86% (+0.20)
Over 4.5 9% (-0.12)
Under 4.5 91% (+0.12)

Gamba Osaka Goals

Over 0.5 73.6% (-0.38)
Under 0.5 26.39% (+0.38)
Over 1.5 38.45% (-0.51)
Under 1.5 61.54% (+0.50)

FC Tokyo Goals

Over 0.5 63.95% (+0.16)
Under 0.5 36.04% (-0.17)
Over 1.5 27.17% (+0.17)
Under 1.5 72.82% (-0.17)

Score analysis

Gamba Osaka 43.81%
Draw 27.56%
FC Tokyo 28.63%
Gamba Osaka
1-0 @ 12.67% (-0.01)
2-1 @ 8.61% (-0.07)
2-0 @ 8.44% (-0.10)
3-1 @ 3.83% (-0.07)
3-0 @ 3.75% (-0.09)
3-2 @ 1.95% (-0.03)
4-1 @ 1.27% (-0.04)
4-0 @ 1.25% (-0.05)
Other @ 2.04%
Total : 43.81%
Draw
1-1 @ 12.93% (+0.05)
0-0 @ 9.51% (+0.10)
2-2 @ 4.39% (-0.02)
Other @ 0.72%
Total : 27.56%
FC Tokyo
0-1 @ 9.71% (+0.14)
1-2 @ 6.6% (+0.06)
0-2 @ 4.95% (+0.09)
1-3 @ 2.24% (+0.03)
0-3 @ 1.68% (+0.04)
2-3 @ 1.5% (+0.01)
Other @ 1.95%
Total : 28.63%

Head to Head

J1 League Gameweek 29
Sep 10, 2022 11.00am
0
0
HT : 0 0
FT
J1 League Gameweek 10
Apr 29, 2022 11.00am
2
0
HT : 1 0
FT
  • Shuto Abe 34' yellowcard
  • Adailton 38' goal
  • Leandro 65' goal
  • Jakub Slowik 90'+5' yellowcard
J1 League Gameweek 25
Aug 21, 2021 11.00am
0
0
HT : 0 0
FT
  • Shu Kurata 57' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Takuya Aoki 37'
  • yellowcard Leandro 82'
J1 League Gameweek 15
May 22, 2021 11.00am
1
0
HT : 1 0
FT
  • Diego Oliveira 1' goal
  • yellowcard Shunya Suganuma 80'
J1 League Gameweek 26
Oct 10, 2020 6.00am
0
1
HT : 0 2
FT
  • goal Ademilson 39'
  • goal Ademilson 41'
  • yellowcard Kim Young-gwon 78'
J1 League Gameweek 10
Aug 29, 2020 11.00am
1
3
HT : 1 1
FT
  • Takashi Usami 43' goal
  • Yosuke Ideguchi 50' yellowcard
  • goal Diego Oliveira 8'
  • yellowcard Joan Oumari 56'
  • goal Leandro 73'
  • goal Adailton 81'
  • yellowcard Akihiro Hayashi 90'+4'
  • yellowcard Tsuyoshi Watanabe 90'+6'