Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a FC Tokyo win with a probability of 53.69%. A draw had a probability of 25% and a win for Kashiwa Reysol had a probability of 21.27%.
The most likely scoreline for a FC Tokyo win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.06%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.45%) and 2-1 (9.46%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.82%), while for a Kashiwa Reysol win it was 0-1 (7.39%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 13.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for FC Tokyo in this match and our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted the win for FC Tokyo.