J1 League | Gameweek 19

Jul 1, 2023 at 11am UK

Ajinomoto Stadium

FC Tokyo
1 - 0
Reysol

FT(HT: 1-0)

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's J1 League clash between FC Tokyo and Kashiwa Reysol, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

FC Tokyo

All competitions

Last Game: FC Tokyo 2-0 Nagoya Grampus
Saturday, June 24 at 11am in J1 League

Goals
for

Kashiwa Reysol

All competitions

Last Game: Reysol 0-0 Albirex Niigata
Saturday, June 24 at 11am in J1 League

Goals
for

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a FC Tokyo win with a probability of 53.69%. A draw had a probability of 25% and a win for Kashiwa Reysol had a probability of 21.27%.

The most likely scoreline for a FC Tokyo win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.06%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.45%) and 2-1 (9.46%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.82%), while for a Kashiwa Reysol win it was 0-1 (7.39%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 13.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for FC Tokyo in this match and our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted the win for FC Tokyo.

Result
FC Tokyo	Draw	Kashiwa Reysol
53.69% ( 0.4)	25.03% ( -0.18)	21.27% ( -0.22)

Both teams to score 47.52% (

0.22)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

45.75% (

0.43)

54.24% (

-0.44)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

24.35% (

0.36)

75.64% (

-0.36)

FC Tokyo Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

79.81% (

0.33)

20.18% (

-0.34)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

47.51% (

0.53)

52.48% (

-0.53)

Kashiwa Reysol Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

59.54% (

0.02)

40.45% (

-0.02)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

22.93% (

0.02)

77.06% (

-0.02)

Score Analysis

FC Tokyo 53.68%

Kashiwa Reysol 21.27%

Draw 25.02%

FC Tokyo	Draw	Kashiwa Reysol
1-0 @ 13.06% ( -0.09) 2-0 @ 10.45% ( 0.04) 2-1 @ 9.46% ( 0.04) 3-0 @ 5.58% ( 0.08) 3-1 @ 5.05% ( 0.07) 3-2 @ 2.28% ( 0.03) 4-0 @ 2.23% ( 0.05) 4-1 @ 2.02% ( 0.05) 4-2 @ 0.91% ( 0.02) Other @ 2.64% Total : 53.68%	1-1 @ 11.82% ( -0.07) 0-0 @ 8.17% ( -0.14) 2-2 @ 4.28% ( 0.02) Other @ 0.76% Total : 25.02%	0-1 @ 7.39% ( -0.12) 1-2 @ 5.35% ( -0.03) 0-2 @ 3.34% ( -0.05) 1-3 @ 1.61% ( -0.01) 2-3 @ 1.29% ( 0.01) 0-3 @ 1.01% ( -0.02) Other @ 1.28% Total : 21.27%