J1 League | Gameweek 18

Jun 24, 2023 at 11am UK

Ajinomoto Stadium

FC Tokyo
2 - 0
Nagoya Grampus

FT(HT: 1-0)

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's J1 League clash between FC Tokyo and Nagoya Grampus, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

FC Tokyo

All competitions

Last Game: Gamba Osaka 3-1 FC Tokyo
Sunday, June 11 at 10am in J1 League

Goals
for

Nagoya Grampus

All competitions

Last Game: Nagoya Grampus 2-1 Avispa Fukuoka
Sunday, June 11 at 8am in J1 League

Goals
for

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Nagoya Grampus win with a probability of 37.6%. A win for FC Tokyo had a probability of 33.7% and a draw had a probability of 28.7%.

The most likely scoreline for a Nagoya Grampus win was 0-1 with a probability of 12.25%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (7.76%) and 0-2 (7.14%). The likeliest FC Tokyo win was 1-0 (11.43%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.32%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 6.2% likelihood.

Result
FC Tokyo	Draw	Nagoya Grampus
33.7% ( -0.03)	28.7% ( 0.01)	37.6% ( 0.02)

Both teams to score 45.6% (

-0.02)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

39.11% (

-0.02)

60.89% (

0.02)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

19.09% (

-0.02)

80.91% (

0.02)

FC Tokyo Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

66.27% (

-0.03)

33.73% (

0.04)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

29.61% (

-0.04)

70.39% (

0.04)

Nagoya Grampus Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

68.81% (

31.19% (

-0)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

32.47% (

67.53% (

Score Analysis

FC Tokyo 33.69%

Nagoya Grampus 37.59%

Draw 28.7%

FC Tokyo	Draw	Nagoya Grampus
1-0 @ 11.43% 2-1 @ 7.24% ( -0.01) 2-0 @ 6.21% ( -0) 3-1 @ 2.62% ( -0) 3-0 @ 2.25% ( -0) 3-2 @ 1.53% ( -0) Other @ 2.41% Total : 33.69%	1-1 @ 13.32% 0-0 @ 10.52% ( 0.01) 2-2 @ 4.22% ( -0) Other @ 0.64% Total : 28.7%	0-1 @ 12.25% ( 0.01) 1-2 @ 7.76% ( 0) 0-2 @ 7.14% ( 0.01) 1-3 @ 3.01% 0-3 @ 2.77% ( 0) 2-3 @ 1.64% ( -0) Other @ 3.02% Total : 37.59%