Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Kashiwa Reysol win with a probability of 44.88%. A win for Shonan Bellmare had a probability of 28.34% and a draw had a probability of 26.8%.

The most likely scoreline for a Kashiwa Reysol win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.99%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.89%) and 2-0 (8.41%). The likeliest Shonan Bellmare win was 0-1 (9.04%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.67%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 12.7% likelihood.

Result
Kashiwa Reysol	Draw	Shonan Bellmare
44.88% ( 0.22)	26.77% ( -0.02)	28.34% ( -0.21)

Both teams to score 49.18% (

-0.05)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

44.55% (

-0.01)

55.44% (

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

23.36% (

-0.01)

76.63%

Kashiwa Reysol Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

75.4% (

0.1)

24.6% (

-0.11)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

40.9% (

0.15)

59.09% (

-0.16)

Shonan Bellmare Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

65.22% (

-0.16)

34.77% (

0.16)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

28.49% (

-0.17)

71.51% (

0.17)

Score Analysis

Kashiwa Reysol 44.88%

Shonan Bellmare 28.34%

Draw 26.77%

Kashiwa Reysol	Draw	Shonan Bellmare
1-0 @ 11.99% ( 0.04) 2-1 @ 8.89% ( 0.02) 2-0 @ 8.41% ( 0.05) 3-1 @ 4.16% ( 0.02) 3-0 @ 3.93% ( 0.04) 3-2 @ 2.19% ( 0) 4-1 @ 1.46% ( 0.01) 4-0 @ 1.38% ( 0.02) Other @ 2.47% Total : 44.88%	1-1 @ 12.67% ( -0.01) 0-0 @ 8.55% ( 0) 2-2 @ 4.69% ( -0.01) Other @ 0.85% Total : 26.77%	0-1 @ 9.04% ( -0.04) 1-2 @ 6.69% ( -0.04) 0-2 @ 4.77% ( -0.04) 1-3 @ 2.36% ( -0.02) 0-3 @ 1.68% ( -0.02) 2-3 @ 1.65% ( -0.01) Other @ 2.16% Total : 28.34%