Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Kashiwa Reysol win with a probability of 44.88%. A win for Shonan Bellmare had a probability of 28.34% and a draw had a probability of 26.8%.
The most likely scoreline for a Kashiwa Reysol win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.99%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.89%) and 2-0 (8.41%). The likeliest Shonan Bellmare win was 0-1 (9.04%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.67%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 12.7% likelihood.