Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Yokohama F Marinos win with a probability of 71.93%. A draw had a probability of 17% and a win for Shonan Bellmare had a probability of 11.1%.

The most likely scoreline for a Yokohama F Marinos win was 2-0 with a probability of 11.64%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (9.85%) and 2-1 (9.48%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.01%), while for a Shonan Bellmare win it was 0-1 (3.39%). The actual scoreline of 4-1 was predicted with a 4.4% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Yokohama F Marinos would win this match.

Result
Yokohama F Marinos	Draw	Shonan Bellmare
71.93% ( 0.08)	16.96% ( -0.03)	11.1% ( -0.05)

Both teams to score 50.44% (

-0.06)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

61.56% (

0.01)

38.43% (

-0.01)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

39.27% (

0.01)

60.72% (

-0.01)

Yokohama F Marinos Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

90.6% (

0.02)

9.39% (

-0.02)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

68.38% (

0.05)

31.61% (

-0.05)

Shonan Bellmare Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

55.67% (

-0.09)

44.32% (

0.08)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

19.61% (

-0.07)

80.38% (

0.06)

Score Analysis

Yokohama F Marinos 71.92%

Shonan Bellmare 11.1%

Draw 16.96%

Yokohama F Marinos	Draw	Shonan Bellmare
2-0 @ 11.64% ( 0.02) 1-0 @ 9.85% ( 0) 2-1 @ 9.48% ( -0.01) 3-0 @ 9.18% ( 0.02) 3-1 @ 7.47% ( 0) 4-0 @ 5.43% ( 0.02) 4-1 @ 4.42% ( 0) 3-2 @ 3.04% ( -0.01) 5-0 @ 2.57% ( 0.01) 5-1 @ 2.09% ( 0) 4-2 @ 1.8% ( -0) 6-0 @ 1.01% ( 0.01) Other @ 3.96% Total : 71.92%	1-1 @ 8.01% ( -0.01) 0-0 @ 4.16% ( -0) 2-2 @ 3.86% ( -0.01) Other @ 0.93% Total : 16.96%	0-1 @ 3.39% ( -0.01) 1-2 @ 3.26% ( -0.01) 0-2 @ 1.38% ( -0.01) 2-3 @ 1.05% ( -0.01) Other @ 2.03% Total : 11.1%