Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Yokohama F Marinos win with a probability of 71.93%. A draw had a probability of 17% and a win for Shonan Bellmare had a probability of 11.1%.
The most likely scoreline for a Yokohama F Marinos win was 2-0 with a probability of 11.64%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (9.85%) and 2-1 (9.48%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.01%), while for a Shonan Bellmare win it was 0-1 (3.39%). The actual scoreline of 4-1 was predicted with a 4.4% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Yokohama F Marinos would win this match.