J1 League | Gameweek 18
Jun 24, 2023 at 11am UK
EDION Stadium
Yokohama F Marinos

Hiroshima
0 - 1
Yokohama

FT(HT: 0-1)
Elber (40')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's J1 League clash between Sanfrecce Hiroshima and Yokohama F Marinos, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Sanfrecce Hiroshima

All competitions
Last Game: Kawasaki 1-0 Hiroshima
Sunday, June 11 at 11am in J1 League

Yokohama F Marinos

All competitions
Last Game: Yokohama 4-3 Reysol
Saturday, June 10 at 8am in J1 League

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Sanfrecce Hiroshima win with a probability of 49.2%. A win for Yokohama F Marinos had a probability of 27.36% and a draw had a probability of 23.4%.

The most likely scoreline for a Sanfrecce Hiroshima win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.53%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.66%) and 2-0 (7.6%). The likeliest Yokohama F Marinos win was 1-2 (6.81%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.85%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 6.2% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted that Yokohama F Marinos would win this match.

Result
Sanfrecce HiroshimaDrawYokohama F Marinos
49.2% (-2.022 -2.02)23.44% (0.338 0.34)27.36% (1.683 1.68)
Both teams to score 59.12% (0.384 0.38)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
57.9% (-0.193 -0.19)42.1% (0.193 0.19)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
35.5% (-0.194 -0.19)64.5% (0.194 0.19)
Sanfrecce Hiroshima Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
82.73% (-0.816 -0.82)17.27% (0.816 0.82)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
52.39% (-1.453 -1.45)47.61% (1.453 1.45)
Yokohama F Marinos Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
71.46% (1.158 1.16)28.54% (-1.158 -1.16)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
35.68% (1.43 1.43)64.32% (-1.43 -1.43)
Score Analysis
    Sanfrecce Hiroshima 49.2%
    Yokohama F Marinos 27.36%
    Draw 23.44%
Sanfrecce HiroshimaDrawYokohama F Marinos
2-1 @ 9.53% (-0.13 -0.13)
1-0 @ 8.66% (-0.162 -0.16)
2-0 @ 7.6% (-0.355 -0.36)
3-1 @ 5.58% (-0.232 -0.23)
3-0 @ 4.45% (-0.337 -0.34)
3-2 @ 3.5% (-0.03 -0.03)
4-1 @ 2.45% (-0.172 -0.17)
4-0 @ 1.95% (-0.206 -0.21)
4-2 @ 1.54% (-0.056 -0.06)
Other @ 3.95%
Total : 49.2%
1-1 @ 10.85% (0.15 0.15)
2-2 @ 5.98% (0.11 0.11)
0-0 @ 4.93% (0.042000000000001 0.04)
3-3 @ 1.46% (0.034 0.03)
Other @ 0.22%
Total : 23.44%
1-2 @ 6.81% (0.306 0.31)
0-1 @ 6.18% (0.247 0.25)
0-2 @ 3.88% (0.274 0.27)
1-3 @ 2.85% (0.214 0.21)
2-3 @ 2.5% (0.124 0.12)
0-3 @ 1.62% (0.162 0.16)
Other @ 3.54%
Total : 27.36%

How you voted: Hiroshima vs Yokohama

Sanfrecce Hiroshima
16.7%
Draw
33.3%
Yokohama F Marinos
50.0%
12
Head to Head
Mar 3, 2023 10am
Gameweek 3
Yokohama
1-1
Hiroshima
Lopes (19')
Higashi (4')
Jul 6, 2022 11am
Gameweek 20
Yokohama
3-0
Hiroshima
Koike (32'), Nishimura (58'), Miyaichi (90+1')
Mizunuma (26'), Miyaichi (61')

Matsumoto (48'), Shiotani (81')
Apr 6, 2022 11am
Gameweek 7
Hiroshima
2-0
Yokohama
Morishima (34', 58')
Notsuda (8'), Nogami (22')

Matsubara (89')
Sep 11, 2021 11am
Gameweek 28
Hiroshima
1-3
Yokohama
Vieira (8')
Maeda (36'), Saneto (45+1'), Ceara (60')
Mar 7, 2021 4am
Gameweek 2
Yokohama
3-3
Hiroshima
Martins (12'), Matsubara (20'), Junior (31')