J1 League Gameweek 17
Jun 11, 2023 11.00am
1
0
HT : 0 0
FT Kawasaki Todoroki Stadium
  • Yasuto Wakizaka 56' goal

Kawasaki Frontale vs Sanfrecce Hiroshima - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

The match

Match Preview

Form, Standings, Stats

Kawasaki Frontale

All competitions
Last game
May 28, 2023 9.00am
Kawasaki 2 - 0 Reysol
Goals scored
51
Top scorer
Yasuto Wakizaka

Sanfrecce Hiroshima

All competitions
Last game
Jun 4, 2023 6.00am
Hiroshima 3 - 1 Kyoto Sanga
Goals scored
42
Top scorer
Douglas Vieira

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Kawasaki Frontale win with a probability of 45.22%. A win for Sanfrecce Hiroshima had a probability of 27.96% and a draw had a probability of 26.8%.

The most likely scoreline for a Kawasaki Frontale win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.17%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.89%) and 2-0 (8.54%). The likeliest Sanfrecce Hiroshima win was 0-1 (9.04%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.68%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 12.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Kawasaki Frontale in this match and our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted the win for Kawasaki Frontale.

Result

Kawasaki Frontale 45.22% (-0.42)
Draw 26.82% (+0.17)
Sanfrecce Hiroshima 27.96% (+0.25)

Both Teams to Score: 

48.8% (-0.34)

Goals

Over 2.5 44.18% (-0.51)
Under 2.5 55.82% (+0.51)
Over 3.5 23.06% (-0.42)
Under 3.5 76.94% (+0.42)
Over 4.5 10.15% (-0.26)
Under 4.5 89.85% (+0.26)

Kawasaki Frontale Goals

Over 0.5 75.4% (-0.43)
Under 0.5 24.6% (+0.43)
Over 1.5 40.9% (-0.60)
Under 1.5 59.09% (+0.60)

Sanfrecce Hiroshima Goals

Over 0.5 64.72% (-0.08)
Under 0.5 35.28% (+0.08)
Over 1.5 27.96% (-0.08)
Under 1.5 72.04% (+0.08)

Score analysis

Kawasaki Frontale 45.22%
Draw 26.82%
Sanfrecce Hiroshima 27.96%
Kawasaki Frontale
1-0 @ 12.17% (+0.09)
2-1 @ 8.89% (-0.07)
2-0 @ 8.54% (-0.05)
3-1 @ 4.16% (-0.09)
3-0 @ 3.99% (-0.07)
3-2 @ 2.17% (-0.05)
4-1 @ 1.46% (-0.05)
4-0 @ 1.4% (-0.05)
Other @ 2.45%
Total : 45.22%
Draw
1-1 @ 12.68% (+0.08)
0-0 @ 8.68% (+0.17)
2-2 @ 4.63% (-0.05)
Other @ 0.83%
Total : 26.82%
Sanfrecce Hiroshima
0-1 @ 9.04% (+0.16)
1-2 @ 6.61% (+0.03)
0-2 @ 4.71% (+0.08)
1-3 @ 2.29% (+0.01)
0-3 @ 1.64% (+0.03)
2-3 @ 1.61% (-0.02)
Other @ 2.06%
Total : 27.96%

Head to Head

J1 League Gameweek 29
Sep 10, 2022 10.30am
4
0
HT : 1 0
FT
  • Akihiro Ienaga 34' goal
  • Yasuto Wakizaka 59' goal
  • Kei Chinen 68' goal
  • Akihiro Ienaga 78' goal
J1 League Gameweek 5
Mar 19, 2022 5.00am
0
2
HT : 0 0
FT
  • yellowcard Kazuya Yamamura 68'
  • goal Yuki Nogami 73' (OG)
  • goal Miki Yamane 88'
J1 League Gameweek 25
Aug 21, 2021 11.00am
1
1
HT : 1 0
FT
  • Yoshifumi Kashiwa 27' goal
  • goal Leandro Damiao 73'
J1 League Gameweek 10
Apr 18, 2021 6.00am
1
1
HT : 1 0
FT
  • Akihiro Ienaga 38' goal
  • yellowcard Yuta Imazu 27'
  • goal Tsukasa Morishima 65'
J1 League Gameweek 9
Oct 14, 2020 11.00am
0
2
HT : 0 0
FT EDION Stadium
  • goal Leandro Damiao 56'
  • goal Kaoru Mitoma 90'+5'
J1 League Gameweek 32
Sep 13, 2020 10.30am
5
1
HT : 1 0
FT
  • Ao Tanaka 14' goal
  • Leandro Damiao 47' goal
  • Kazuya Yamamura 50' goal
  • Ao Tanaka 51' goal
  • Yu Kobayashi 88' goal
  • goal Yuya Asano 90'