Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Urawa Red Diamonds win with a probability of 42.27%. A win for Albirex Niigata had a probability of 31.63% and a draw had a probability of 26.1%.
The most likely scoreline for a Urawa Red Diamonds win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.39%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.83%) and 0-2 (7.39%). The likeliest Albirex Niigata win was 1-0 (8.73%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.41%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 12.4% likelihood.