J1 League | Gameweek 23
Aug 12, 2023 at 10am UK
Denka Big Swan Stadium

Albirex Niigata
2 - 2
Shonan Bellmare

Takagi (75', 90+3')
Arai (52')
FT(HT: 0-2)
Ohashi (10'), Silvano Disaro (26')
Onose (56'), Ohashi (79'), Tanaka (87')
Coverage of the J1 League clash between Albirex Niigata and Shonan Bellmare.

Form, Standings, Stats

Albirex Niigata

All competitions
Last Game: Nagoya Grampus 1-0 Albirex Niigata
Saturday, August 5 at 11am in J1 League

Shonan Bellmare

All competitions
Last Game: Shonan Bellmare 1-0 Hiroshima
Saturday, August 5 at 11am in J1 League

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Albirex Niigata win with a probability of 45.92%. A win for Shonan Bellmare had a probability of 29.52% and a draw had a probability of 24.6%.

The most likely scoreline for an Albirex Niigata win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.3%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.29%) and 2-0 (7.48%). The likeliest Shonan Bellmare win was 0-1 (7.18%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.55%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 5.8% likelihood.

Result
Albirex NiigataDrawShonan Bellmare
45.92% (0.021999999999998 0.02)24.56% (-0.0090000000000003 -0.01)29.52% (-0.019000000000002 -0.02)
Both teams to score 56.87% (0.014000000000003 0.01)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
54.24% (0.023000000000003 0.02)45.76% (-0.026000000000003 -0.03)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
31.92% (0.021000000000001 0.02)68.07% (-0.027000000000001 -0.03)
Albirex Niigata Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
79.97% (0.01700000000001 0.02)20.02% (-0.022000000000002 -0.02)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
47.77% (0.030000000000001 0.03)52.22% (-0.035000000000004 -0.04)
Shonan Bellmare Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
71.11% (-0.0010000000000048 -0)28.88% (-0.0040000000000013 -0)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
35.24% (-0.0010000000000048 -0)64.75% (-0.0049999999999955 -0)
Score Analysis
    Albirex Niigata 45.92%
    Shonan Bellmare 29.52%
    Draw 24.56%
Albirex NiigataDrawShonan Bellmare
1-0 @ 9.3% (-0.0039999999999996 -0)
2-1 @ 9.29% (0.0019999999999989 0)
2-0 @ 7.48% (0.0010000000000003 0)
3-1 @ 4.98% (0.0040000000000004 0)
3-0 @ 4.01% (0.0030000000000001 0)
3-2 @ 3.09% (0.0030000000000001 0)
4-1 @ 2% (0.0029999999999997 0)
4-0 @ 1.61% (0.002 0)
4-2 @ 1.24% (0.002 0)
Other @ 2.91%
Total : 45.92%
1-1 @ 11.55%
0-0 @ 5.78% (-0.0069999999999997 -0.01)
2-2 @ 5.77% (0.0019999999999998 0)
3-3 @ 1.28% (0.0010000000000001 0)
Other @ 0.17%
Total : 24.56%
0-1 @ 7.18% (-0.0069999999999997 -0.01)
1-2 @ 7.17% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
0-2 @ 4.46% (-0.0050000000000008 -0.01)
1-3 @ 2.97% (-0.0010000000000003 -0)
2-3 @ 2.39% (0.00099999999999989 0)
0-3 @ 1.85% (-0.002 -0)
1-4 @ 0.92%
Other @ 2.58%
Total : 29.52%

Head to Head
Jun 3, 2023 7am
Gameweek 16
Shonan Bellmare
2-2
Albirex Niigata
Machino (2' pen.), Onose (83')
Oiwa (47'), Sugioka (70'), Okuno (72'), Takahashi (90')
Taniguchi (30', 62')