J1 League | Gameweek 21
Jul 16, 2023 at 11am UK
Lemon Gas Stadium Hiratsuka (Hiratsuka)

Shonan Bellmare
0 - 1
Avispa Fukuoka

FT(HT: 0-0)
Grolli (86')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's J1 League clash between Shonan Bellmare and Avispa Fukuoka, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Shonan Bellmare

All competitions
Last Game: Reysol 1-1 Shonan Bellmare
Saturday, July 8 at 11am in J1 League

Avispa Fukuoka

All competitions
Last Game: Avispa Fukuoka 2-1 Consadole
Saturday, July 8 at 11am in J1 League

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Shonan Bellmare win with a probability of 45.3%. A draw had a probability of 28% and a win for Avispa Fukuoka had a probability of 26.75%.

The most likely scoreline for a Shonan Bellmare win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.67%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.04%) and 2-1 (8.56%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.94%), while for an Avispa Fukuoka win it was 0-1 (9.79%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 9.8% likelihood.

Result
Shonan BellmareDrawAvispa Fukuoka
45.3% (0.042999999999999 0.04)27.95% (-0.056999999999999 -0.06)26.75% (0.013999999999999 0.01)
Both teams to score 44.87% (0.159 0.16)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
39.56% (0.196 0.2)60.44% (-0.198 -0.2)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
19.42% (0.148 0.15)80.57% (-0.14999999999999 -0.15)
Shonan Bellmare Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
73.34% (0.114 0.11)26.65% (-0.116 -0.12)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
38.09% (0.148 0.15)61.9% (-0.15 -0.15)
Avispa Fukuoka Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
61.18% (0.12 0.12)38.81% (-0.122 -0.12)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
24.45% (0.114 0.11)75.55% (-0.11499999999999 -0.11)
Score Analysis
    Shonan Bellmare 45.29%
    Avispa Fukuoka 26.75%
    Draw 27.94%
Shonan BellmareDrawAvispa Fukuoka
1-0 @ 13.67% (-0.06 -0.06)
2-0 @ 9.04% (-0.0080000000000009 -0.01)
2-1 @ 8.56% (0.02 0.02)
3-0 @ 3.99% (0.0089999999999999 0.01)
3-1 @ 3.77% (0.021 0.02)
3-2 @ 1.79% (0.016 0.02)
4-0 @ 1.32% (0.0069999999999999 0.01)
4-1 @ 1.25% (0.011 0.01)
Other @ 1.91%
Total : 45.29%
1-1 @ 12.94% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
0-0 @ 10.34% (-0.08 -0.08)
2-2 @ 4.05% (0.023 0.02)
Other @ 0.61%
Total : 27.94%
0-1 @ 9.79% (-0.040000000000001 -0.04)
1-2 @ 6.13% (0.015000000000001 0.02)
0-2 @ 4.63% (-0.0039999999999996 -0)
1-3 @ 1.93% (0.011 0.01)
0-3 @ 1.46% (0.004 0)
2-3 @ 1.28% (0.012 0.01)
Other @ 1.52%
Total : 26.75%

How you voted: Shonan Bellmare vs Avispa Fukuoka

Shonan Bellmare
33.3%
Draw
33.3%
Avispa Fukuoka
33.3%
12
Head to Head
Mar 19, 2023 5am
Gameweek 5
Avispa Fukuoka
2-1
Shonan Bellmare
Yamagishi (90+6', 90+9')
Onose (73')
Jul 16, 2022 11am
Gameweek 22
Shonan Bellmare
0-0
Avispa Fukuoka
Ohno (40'), Yonemoto (88')
Watari (52')
May 7, 2022 9am
Gameweek 12
Avispa Fukuoka
0-0
Shonan Bellmare
Yamagishi (45'), Nakamura (89')
Segawa (8'), Nagaki (89'), Hata (90')
Segawa (45+2')
Sep 18, 2021 10am
Gameweek 29
Shonan Bellmare
1-1
Avispa Fukuoka
Ohashi (90+7')
Oiwa (28'), Barada (41'), Okamoto (55')
Juanma (30' pen.)
Watari (64'), Juanma (68')
May 22, 2021 9am
Gameweek 15
Avispa Fukuoka
2-1
Shonan Bellmare
Mendes (65'), Grolli (71')
Nara (57')
Nago (32')
Nakamura (79')