J1 League | Gameweek 20
Jul 8, 2023 at 11am UK
Best Denki Stadium (Fukuoka)

Avispa Fukuoka
2 - 1
Consadole

Wellington (66'), Yuzawa (69')
FT(HT: 0-1)
Sarachart (31')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's J1 League clash between Avispa Fukuoka and Consadole Sapporo, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Cerezo 0-1 Avispa Fukuoka
Friday, June 30 at 11am in J1 League
Last Game: Vissel Kobe 1-1 Consadole
Saturday, July 1 at 11am in J1 League

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Consadole Sapporo win with a probability of 41.53%. A win for Avispa Fukuoka had a probability of 32.8% and a draw had a probability of 25.7%.

The most likely scoreline for a Consadole Sapporo win was 0-1 with a probability of 9.7%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.81%) and 0-2 (7.01%). The likeliest Avispa Fukuoka win was 1-0 (8.43%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.18%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 7.7% likelihood.

Result
Avispa FukuokaDrawConsadole Sapporo
32.8% (0.279 0.28)25.67% (0.112 0.11)41.53% (-0.388 -0.39)
Both teams to score 54.67% (-0.28100000000001 -0.28)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
50.67% (-0.403 -0.4)49.33% (0.408 0.41)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
28.62% (-0.364 -0.36)71.38% (0.369 0.37)
Avispa Fukuoka Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
71.52% (-0.019000000000005 -0.02)28.48% (0.022000000000002 0.02)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
35.75% (-0.025000000000006 -0.03)64.26% (0.028999999999996 0.03)
Consadole Sapporo Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
76.44% (-0.36800000000001 -0.37)23.56% (0.373 0.37)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
42.38% (-0.538 -0.54)57.62% (0.54199999999999 0.54)
Score Analysis
    Avispa Fukuoka 32.8%
    Consadole Sapporo 41.53%
    Draw 25.67%
Avispa FukuokaDrawConsadole Sapporo
1-0 @ 8.43% (0.134 0.13)
2-1 @ 7.65% (0.034000000000001 0.03)
2-0 @ 5.29% (0.081 0.08)
3-1 @ 3.2% (0.013 0.01)
3-2 @ 2.32% (-0.016 -0.02)
3-0 @ 2.22% (0.032 0.03)
4-1 @ 1.01% (0.0029999999999999 0)
Other @ 2.69%
Total : 32.8%
1-1 @ 12.18% (0.06 0.06)
0-0 @ 6.71% (0.111 0.11)
2-2 @ 5.53% (-0.035 -0.04)
3-3 @ 1.12% (-0.021 -0.02)
Other @ 0.14%
Total : 25.67%
0-1 @ 9.7% (0.056000000000001 0.06)
1-2 @ 8.81% (-0.051 -0.05)
0-2 @ 7.01% (-0.036 -0.04)
1-3 @ 4.24% (-0.072 -0.07)
0-3 @ 3.38% (-0.055 -0.06)
2-3 @ 2.67% (-0.046 -0.05)
1-4 @ 1.53% (-0.043 -0.04)
0-4 @ 1.22% (-0.034 -0.03)
2-4 @ 0.96% (-0.028 -0.03)
Other @ 2%
Total : 41.53%

How you voted: Avispa Fukuoka vs Consadole

Avispa Fukuoka
50.0%
Draw
16.7%
Consadole Sapporo
33.3%
6
Head to Head
Apr 23, 2023 6am
Oct 8, 2022 6am
Mar 6, 2022 5am
Gameweek 3
Avispa Fukuoka
0-0
Consadole
Kumamoto (60')
Tanaka (29'), Komai (52')
Oct 24, 2021 6am
Gameweek 33
Consadole
0-0
Avispa Fukuoka
Takamine (71')
Sugimoto (9'), Caue (40')
Apr 3, 2021 6am
Gameweek 7
Avispa Fukuoka
1-2
Consadole
Nara (52')
Lopes (30'), Fukumori (54')
Fukai (13'), Sugeno (90+1'), Fernandes (90+4')