Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Consadole Sapporo win with a probability of 41.53%. A win for Avispa Fukuoka had a probability of 32.8% and a draw had a probability of 25.7%.
The most likely scoreline for a Consadole Sapporo win was 0-1 with a probability of 9.7%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.81%) and 0-2 (7.01%). The likeliest Avispa Fukuoka win was 1-0 (8.43%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.18%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 7.7% likelihood.