Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Sanfrecce Hiroshima win with a probability of 41.79%. A win for Albirex Niigata had a probability of 31.93% and a draw had a probability of 26.3%.
The most likely scoreline for a Sanfrecce Hiroshima win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.51%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.75%) and 0-2 (7.36%). The likeliest Albirex Niigata win was 1-0 (8.93%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.5%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 5.3% likelihood.