Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Albirex Niigata win with a probability of 51.95%. A draw had a probability of 24.2% and a win for Kyoto Sanga had a probability of 23.8%.

The most likely scoreline for an Albirex Niigata win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.94%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.66%) and 2-0 (9.17%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.52%), while for a Kyoto Sanga win it was 0-1 (6.87%). The actual scoreline of 1-3 was predicted with a 2.1% likelihood.

Result
Albirex Niigata	Draw	Kyoto Sanga
51.95% ( -0.34)	24.25% ( 0.1)	23.8% ( 0.24)

Both teams to score 52.92% (

-0.04)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

51.34% (

-0.18)

48.66% (

0.19)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

29.22% (

-0.17)

70.78% (

0.17)

Albirex Niigata Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

81.29% (

-0.2)

18.71% (

0.2)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

49.93% (

-0.34)

50.07% (

0.34)

Kyoto Sanga Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

65.09% (

0.12)

34.91% (

-0.12)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

28.35% (

0.12)

71.65% (

-0.12)

Score Analysis

Albirex Niigata 51.95%

Kyoto Sanga 23.8%

Draw 24.25%

Albirex Niigata	Draw	Kyoto Sanga
1-0 @ 10.94% ( 0.01) 2-1 @ 9.66% ( -0.02) 2-0 @ 9.17% ( -0.05) 3-1 @ 5.4% ( -0.05) 3-0 @ 5.13% ( -0.06) 3-2 @ 2.84% ( -0.02) 4-1 @ 2.26% ( -0.03) 4-0 @ 2.15% ( -0.04) 4-2 @ 1.19% ( -0.01) Other @ 3.22% Total : 51.95%	1-1 @ 11.52% ( 0.05) 0-0 @ 6.53% ( 0.05) 2-2 @ 5.08% ( 0) 3-3 @ 1% ( -0) Other @ 0.12% Total : 24.25%	0-1 @ 6.87% ( 0.07) 1-2 @ 6.06% ( 0.04) 0-2 @ 3.62% ( 0.05) 1-3 @ 2.13% ( 0.02) 2-3 @ 1.78% ( 0.01) 0-3 @ 1.27% ( 0.02) Other @ 2.07% Total : 23.8%