J1 League Gameweek 17
Jun 11, 2023 6.00am
1
3
HT : 0 2
FT Denka Big Swan Stadium
  • Naoto Arai 72' goal
  • Naoto Arai 72' goal
  • goal Yuta Toyokawa 28'
  • goal Yuta Toyokawa 28'
  • goal Patric 75'
  • goal Patric 75'
  • goal Patric 80'
  • goal Patric 80'

Albirex Niigata vs Kyoto Sanga - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

The match

Match Preview

Form, Standings, Stats

Albirex Niigata

All competitions
Last game
Jun 3, 2023 7.00am
Shonan Bellmare 2 - 2 Albirex Niigata
Goals scored
36
Top scorer
Ryotaro Ito

Kyoto Sanga

All competitions
Last game
Jun 4, 2023 6.00am
Hiroshima 3 - 1 Kyoto Sanga
Goals scored
40
Top scorer
Yuta Toyokawa

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Albirex Niigata win with a probability of 51.95%. A draw had a probability of 24.2% and a win for Kyoto Sanga had a probability of 23.8%.

The most likely scoreline for an Albirex Niigata win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.94%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.66%) and 2-0 (9.17%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.52%), while for a Kyoto Sanga win it was 0-1 (6.87%). The actual scoreline of 1-3 was predicted with a 2.1% likelihood.

Result

Albirex Niigata 51.95% (-0.35)
Draw 24.25% (+0.10)
Kyoto Sanga 23.8% (+0.25)

Both Teams to Score: 

52.92% (-0.04)

Goals

Over 2.5 51.34% (-0.19)
Under 2.5 48.66% (+0.19)
Over 3.5 29.22% (-0.17)
Under 3.5 70.78% (+0.18)
Over 4.5 14.14% (-0.12)
Under 4.5 85.86% (+0.12)

Albirex Niigata Goals

Over 0.5 81.29% (-0.21)
Under 0.5 18.71% (+0.21)
Over 1.5 49.93% (-0.35)
Under 1.5 50.07% (+0.35)

Kyoto Sanga Goals

Over 0.5 65.09% (+0.12)
Under 0.5 34.91% (-0.12)
Over 1.5 28.35% (+0.12)
Under 1.5 71.65% (-0.12)

Score analysis

Albirex Niigata 51.95%
Draw 24.25%
Kyoto Sanga 23.8%
Albirex Niigata
1-0 @ 10.94% (+0.01)
2-1 @ 9.66% (-0.03)
2-0 @ 9.17% (-0.05)
3-1 @ 5.4% (-0.05)
3-0 @ 5.13% (-0.07)
3-2 @ 2.84% (-0.02)
4-1 @ 2.26% (-0.04)
4-0 @ 2.15% (-0.05)
4-2 @ 1.19% (-0.02)
Other @ 3.22%
Total : 51.95%
Draw
1-1 @ 11.52% (+0.05)
0-0 @ 6.53% (+0.05)
2-2 @ 5.08% (+0.01)
Other @ 1.11%
Total : 24.25%
Kyoto Sanga
0-1 @ 6.87% (+0.08)
1-2 @ 6.06% (+0.05)
0-2 @ 3.62% (+0.05)
1-3 @ 2.13% (+0.03)
2-3 @ 1.78% (+0.01)
0-3 @ 1.27% (+0.03)
Other @ 2.07%
Total : 23.8%