Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Kashima Antlers win with a probability of 52.6%. A draw had a probability of 25.6% and a win for Albirex Niigata had a probability of 21.85%.
The most likely scoreline for a Kashima Antlers win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.36%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.37%) and 2-1 (9.34%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.02%), while for an Albirex Niigata win it was 0-1 (7.75%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 10.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Kashima Antlers would win this match.