J1 League | Gameweek 20

Jul 8, 2023 at 10.30am UK

EDION Stadium

Hiroshima
1 - 1
Kashima Antlers

FT(HT: 0-1)

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's J1 League clash between Sanfrecce Hiroshima and Kashima Antlers, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Sanfrecce Hiroshima

All competitions

Last Game: Albirex Niigata 2-0 Hiroshima
Saturday, July 1 at 10am in J1 League

Goals
for

Kashima Antlers

All competitions

Last Game: Kashima Antlers 0-0 Kyoto Sanga
Saturday, July 1 at 10am in J1 League

Goals
for

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Sanfrecce Hiroshima win with a probability of 50.83%. A draw had a probability of 26.1% and a win for Kashima Antlers had a probability of 23.08%.

The most likely scoreline for a Sanfrecce Hiroshima win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.34%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.01%) and 2-1 (9.21%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.26%), while for a Kashima Antlers win it was 0-1 (8.17%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 12.3% likelihood.

Result
Sanfrecce Hiroshima	Draw	Kashima Antlers
50.83% ( 0.46)	26.09% ( -0.12)	23.08% ( -0.34)

Both teams to score 46.72% (

-0.03)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

43.57% (

0.14)

56.43% (

-0.14)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

22.56% (

0.11)

77.44% (

-0.11)

Sanfrecce Hiroshima Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

77.72% (

0.26)

22.28% (

-0.26)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

44.27% (

0.39)

55.73% (

-0.39)

Kashima Antlers Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

60.11% (

-0.24)

39.89% (

0.24)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

23.45% (

-0.22)

76.55% (

0.22)

Score Analysis

Sanfrecce Hiroshima 50.81%

Kashima Antlers 23.09%

Draw 26.09%

Sanfrecce Hiroshima	Draw	Kashima Antlers
1-0 @ 13.34% ( 0.03) 2-0 @ 10.01% ( 0.09) 2-1 @ 9.21% ( 0.03) 3-0 @ 5.02% ( 0.09) 3-1 @ 4.61% ( 0.05) 3-2 @ 2.12% ( 0.01) 4-0 @ 1.88% ( 0.05) 4-1 @ 1.73% ( 0.03) Other @ 2.9% Total : 50.81%	1-1 @ 12.26% ( -0.05) 0-0 @ 8.89% ( -0.05) 2-2 @ 4.23% ( -0.01) Other @ 0.71% Total : 26.09%	0-1 @ 8.17% ( -0.1) 1-2 @ 5.64% ( -0.06) 0-2 @ 3.75% ( -0.07) 1-3 @ 1.73% ( -0.03) 2-3 @ 1.3% ( -0.01) 0-3 @ 1.15% ( -0.03) Other @ 1.36% Total : 23.09%