J1 League | Gameweek 23

Aug 13, 2023 at 10am UK

Minato Soccer Stadium

Nagoya Grampus
1 - 0
Kashima Antlers

Nogami (37')
Inagaki (85'), Fujii (89')

FT(HT: 1-0)

Anzai (28'), Pituca (90+3'), Fujii (90+1')

Coverage of the J1 League clash between Nagoya Grampus and Kashima Antlers.

Form, Standings, Stats

Nagoya Grampus

All competitions

Last Game: Nagoya Grampus 1-0 Albirex Niigata
Saturday, August 5 at 11am in J1 League

Goals
for

Kashima Antlers

All competitions

Last Game: Kashima Antlers 3-0 Consadole
Sunday, August 6 at 10am in J1 League

Goals
for

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Nagoya Grampus win with a probability of 36.47%. A win for Kashima Antlers had a probability of 35% and a draw had a probability of 28.5%.

The most likely scoreline for a Nagoya Grampus win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.82%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (7.67%) and 2-0 (6.82%). The likeliest Kashima Antlers win was 0-1 (11.52%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.29%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with an 11.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Nagoya Grampus in this match.

Result
Nagoya Grampus	Draw	Kashima Antlers
36.47% ( 0.01)	28.53% ( 0.13)	35% ( -0.13)

Both teams to score 46.2% (

-0.38)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

39.8% (

-0.46)

60.2% (

0.46)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

19.61% (

-0.35)

80.39% (

0.35)

Nagoya Grampus Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

68.45% (

-0.23)

31.55% (

0.23)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

32.05% (

-0.26)

67.95% (

0.26)

Kashima Antlers Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

67.5% (

-0.32)

32.5% (

0.32)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

30.97% (

-0.36)

69.03% (

0.36)

Score Analysis

Nagoya Grampus 36.46%

Kashima Antlers 34.99%

Draw 28.52%

Nagoya Grampus	Draw	Kashima Antlers
1-0 @ 11.82% ( 0.12) 2-1 @ 7.67% ( -0.03) 2-0 @ 6.82% ( 0.03) 3-1 @ 2.95% ( -0.03) 3-0 @ 2.62% ( -0) 3-2 @ 1.66% ( -0.03) Other @ 2.92% Total : 36.46%	1-1 @ 13.29% ( 0.03) 0-0 @ 10.25% ( 0.18) 2-2 @ 4.31% ( -0.06) Other @ 0.67% Total : 28.52%	0-1 @ 11.52% ( 0.1) 1-2 @ 7.47% ( -0.05) 0-2 @ 6.48% ( -0) 1-3 @ 2.8% ( -0.04) 0-3 @ 2.43% ( -0.02) 2-3 @ 1.62% ( -0.03) Other @ 2.69% Total : 34.99%